Polymarket refused to settle the U.S. “invasion of Venezuela” wager after saying the recent military operation didn’t match the contract’s definition of invasion, even though President Maduro was captured. This left millions of dollars in bets unresolved and sparked a heated debate about how prediction markets interpret outcomes and enforce rules.
Do you think prediction markets need more clarity or regulation when real-world events don’t fit neatly into contract wording?
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Polymarket Controversy: Invasion Bet Not Settled
Polymarket refused to settle the U.S. “invasion of Venezuela” wager after saying the recent military operation didn’t match the contract’s definition of invasion, even though President Maduro was captured. This left millions of dollars in bets unresolved and sparked a heated debate about how prediction markets interpret outcomes and enforce rules.
Do you think prediction markets need more clarity or regulation when real-world events don’t fit neatly into contract wording?
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