Silver prices fluctuate unevenly. Yesterday, the market opened at 78.275, initially surged to 77.74 then started to retreat, with the daily chart bottoming out at 73.804, a key support level that halted the decline. Afterwards, driven by buying momentum, it rebounded strongly, closing at 76.98, forming a hammer candlestick with a particularly long lower shadow.
From a market-driven perspective, the US initial jobless claims data exceeded expectations, directly fueling market expectations of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates early, causing the US dollar index to weaken in the short term. Coupled with escalating geopolitical risk aversion sentiment, silver gained the confidence to rebound.
Technically, the picture is quite clear. On the 15-minute chart, after bottoming at 73.804, silver formed a beautiful V-shaped reversal. During the rebound, trading volume gradually increased, indicating that funds were indeed entering at lower levels. The hammer pattern on the daily chart suggests solid buying support below, and the short-term downward momentum has significantly weakened.
The current strategy is to wait for opportunities. Consider entering long positions around 75.3, with a stop loss below 75.0. The short-term targets are first at 77.0 and 77.5. If these levels are broken, there is room to move towards the 78.0-79.0 range.
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DarkPoolWatcher
· 01-11 10:19
73.804 That bottom of Nabo is really not to be missed; once the volume picks up, you'll know someone is accumulating.
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SocialFiQueen
· 01-11 06:30
This hammer candlestick looks quite solid. The low-position funds entering the market are indeed interesting, but we should wait until 75.3 before taking action.
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HypotheticalLiquidator
· 01-09 20:58
A beautiful hammer candlestick is indeed beautiful, but is this 73.804 really the bottom? I think the trading volume data indicating capital inflow needs to be verified; don’t be fooled.
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Buy in at 75.3? What about the risk control threshold? If the leverage ratio isn’t properly managed, a single bearish candle could directly hit the liquidation price.
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The Fed’s rate cut expectations are unpredictable; they’re hot today and cold tomorrow, and systemic risk is right here.
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A V-shaped reversal can also fail; once the domino effect is triggered, the $77 level can’t hold back the decline.
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Aren’t there still many cases of chain liquidations? Does increased trading volume really mean genuine capital inflow? I think it depends on the borrowing rate.
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The health factor hasn’t improved yet, and you’re rushing to chase the high?
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SudoRm-RfWallet/
· 01-09 02:45
This V-shaped reversal looks really comfortable, but I don't know if it can hold up.
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MEVictim
· 01-09 02:44
Hammer candlestick is back again. Is it reliable this time? Last time, a similar pattern directly broke through.
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DeadTrades_Walking
· 01-09 02:40
To be honest, this hammer candlestick is indeed beautiful, but I don't know if it can truly hold above 75.3.
When the dollar weakens, silver always manages to rebound on the back of it. Will this be a false breakout? It depends on the trading volume.
That low point at 73 is quite critical; if it breaks, we will need to reassess the situation.
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FreeRider
· 01-09 02:34
The hammer candlestick pattern this time really has some substance; quite a lot of funds are accumulating at the low levels.
Silver prices fluctuate unevenly. Yesterday, the market opened at 78.275, initially surged to 77.74 then started to retreat, with the daily chart bottoming out at 73.804, a key support level that halted the decline. Afterwards, driven by buying momentum, it rebounded strongly, closing at 76.98, forming a hammer candlestick with a particularly long lower shadow.
From a market-driven perspective, the US initial jobless claims data exceeded expectations, directly fueling market expectations of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates early, causing the US dollar index to weaken in the short term. Coupled with escalating geopolitical risk aversion sentiment, silver gained the confidence to rebound.
Technically, the picture is quite clear. On the 15-minute chart, after bottoming at 73.804, silver formed a beautiful V-shaped reversal. During the rebound, trading volume gradually increased, indicating that funds were indeed entering at lower levels. The hammer pattern on the daily chart suggests solid buying support below, and the short-term downward momentum has significantly weakened.
The current strategy is to wait for opportunities. Consider entering long positions around 75.3, with a stop loss below 75.0. The short-term targets are first at 77.0 and 77.5. If these levels are broken, there is room to move towards the 78.0-79.0 range.