Recently, Bitcoin's performance at key price levels has sparked quite a bit of discussion. Let's analyze the current market situation from several important technical perspectives.
**The Attraction of Gap Fillings**
In the $88,000 to $88,500 range, there is an unfilled gap in the CME futures market. Historically, such gaps tend to be "filled" as prices are drawn back to them, much like a magnetic point attracting the market. This is not baseless speculation but based on extensive historical market data observations. If the price indeed drops to fill this gap, it will be a critical moment to test the true strength of the $88,000 support level and whether the Wyckoff accumulation pattern is truly forming. Conversely, if the market rebounds without filling this gap, that gap could become an important bottom support in a future cycle.
**Signals from the Wyckoff Pattern**
Looking at the 4-hour chart, after Bitcoin broke through the resistance zone from $88,000 to $89,500 in mid-December 2025, it is now undergoing a low-volume retest. What does this mean? It indicates that the selling pressure is not fierce, and there may be funds quietly supporting the level. Once this Wyckoff accumulation pattern is confirmed, historical experience suggests there is a 60-70% probability of initiating a new upward cycle, targeting the $92,000 to $100,000 range.
But don’t get too excited—if a high-volume drop breaks below $88,000, this bullish pattern will be invalidated, and the market could deepen its correction toward around $85,000.
**The Reference Role of Moving Averages**
From the moving average system, the 50-day moving average is currently around $89,000. This line plays an important reference role in the current market structure. Similar key moving average levels often serve as important reference points for institutional fund orders.
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AirdropHarvester
· 01-09 02:51
Is the 88,000 gap really that magnetic? It feels like we're always waiting for it to fill, but instead it just pushes higher.
The Wyckoff pattern is back again. I've heard this "60% probability" statement too many times, only to see a high trading volume break through the level.
The 50-day moving average is at 89,000. Do institutions really base their decisions on this? Or are retail investors like us just researching here for a long time?
The low-volume retest is true, but that doesn't really mean much... maybe no one wants to sell after all.
The target of 92K to 100K is quite aggressive. If it drops to 85K, it would be awkward. That's the real concern.
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TopEscapeArtist
· 01-09 02:51
That 88000 gap, to be honest, I'm really afraid it will get filled because I entered at over 89000... I've looked at the Wyckoff pattern for a long time, and I still decided to set the stop loss at 87500. I don't want to experience the despair of a head and shoulders top pattern breaking again.
The bearish signals are increasing, and the low-volume retests sound like they're trying to trick me into buying in. Those bad tricks from the institutions... But to put it nicely, the market cycle isn't complete yet, so I just see it as accumulating.
If the 50-day moving average at 89000 really breaks down, I'll head straight to 85000. I can't afford to gamble anymore, so I should reduce my position first.
Actually, it's just two words—too brutal.
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ZKProofEnthusiast
· 01-09 02:49
The idea of gap attraction is something I’m half convinced of. Historical data looks good, but the market doesn’t necessarily follow the pattern... The key is whether 88000 can hold.
With so many people discussing Wyckoff, it makes me think things aren’t that simple. If institutions really wanted to act, they would have done so already.
That 89000 moving average is indeed there, but institutions reference it for their orders... Well, information asymmetry is a thing; what we can see is no longer a secret.
A rebound to 92-100k? It’s possible, but breaking 85k wouldn’t be surprising. The crypto market still needs to be cautious.
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FreeRider
· 01-09 02:41
Is the 88,000 gap really that attractive? Whether historical patterns are reliable or not depends on trading volume
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Will VUCAF accumulate a 60-70% probability? I feel like these numbers are a bit虚, the market can crash at any time
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So the key is whether we can hold steady at 88k, otherwise all patterns are meaningless
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The piling up of moving averages... Do institutions really follow the script so honestly? That’s a bit far-fetched
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A low-volume retest sounds good, but I still think we should first see if we can hold 88000
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The 100k target sounds great, but we also need to guard against the risk of a pullback to 85k
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The magnetic effect of the gap sounds good, but I’m worried the market won’t follow the historical script
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50-day moving average at 89k... Is this a reference for institutions or a trap for retail investors? Hard to say
Recently, Bitcoin's performance at key price levels has sparked quite a bit of discussion. Let's analyze the current market situation from several important technical perspectives.
**The Attraction of Gap Fillings**
In the $88,000 to $88,500 range, there is an unfilled gap in the CME futures market. Historically, such gaps tend to be "filled" as prices are drawn back to them, much like a magnetic point attracting the market. This is not baseless speculation but based on extensive historical market data observations. If the price indeed drops to fill this gap, it will be a critical moment to test the true strength of the $88,000 support level and whether the Wyckoff accumulation pattern is truly forming. Conversely, if the market rebounds without filling this gap, that gap could become an important bottom support in a future cycle.
**Signals from the Wyckoff Pattern**
Looking at the 4-hour chart, after Bitcoin broke through the resistance zone from $88,000 to $89,500 in mid-December 2025, it is now undergoing a low-volume retest. What does this mean? It indicates that the selling pressure is not fierce, and there may be funds quietly supporting the level. Once this Wyckoff accumulation pattern is confirmed, historical experience suggests there is a 60-70% probability of initiating a new upward cycle, targeting the $92,000 to $100,000 range.
But don’t get too excited—if a high-volume drop breaks below $88,000, this bullish pattern will be invalidated, and the market could deepen its correction toward around $85,000.
**The Reference Role of Moving Averages**
From the moving average system, the 50-day moving average is currently around $89,000. This line plays an important reference role in the current market structure. Similar key moving average levels often serve as important reference points for institutional fund orders.