2026-01-09 03:10:17

Non-farm payroll data is here! This week, the unemployment rate surged to 4.7%, and a bunch of Wall Street analysts are getting excited—Citi has dropped a big hint: if December's data is indeed this bad, the Federal Reserve will probably cut interest rates by another 25 basis points in January.

In simple terms, the job market is indeed cooling down. Officials say "no worries, no rate cuts," but job growth has almost come to a halt, initial jobless claims are clearly trending downward, and hiring demand is weakening. Citi's new forecast is only 75,000 new jobs, almost no growth.

By 2025, rates have already been cut by 75 basis points. As we enter 2026, what is the market betting on? Market pricing has factored in 60 basis points, but Citi's baseline forecast is raised to 75 basis points, with the possibility of breaking through 100. Oil prices are at low levels, and service sector inflation is also easing, giving the macro environment a green light for easing policies.

This week's non-farm report is like a hammer and nail—whether it can open a new round of rate cuts depends on the numbers. #2026年比特币价格展望 $BTC $XRP are all watching this rhythm.

BTC0,33%

XRP-0,09%

ZEC2,85%

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RugpullSurvivor

· 01-09 18:57

Once again, non-farm data drama. Wall Street folks are really good at hyping up the heat. The rate cut expectation has been pushed to 100 basis points. Should the crypto circle be excited or cautious? No matter how good Citi's words are, it all depends on how the December data materializes. Betting on 100 basis points? Wake up, brother. The Federal Reserve isn't as generous as you think. A cooling job market is a positive, but if inflation rebounds, it's all over. 75,000 new jobs. What kind of market movement can this data trigger? Just wait and see. The green light for easing is on, but the key is whether oil prices will cause trouble. BTC is once again hostage to non-farm data. When can it become independent? Market pricing is at 60, Citi calls for 75, and the difference in between is the profit. This week's numbers are out, and another round of "crypto gambler" drama is about to unfold.

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MevHunter

· 01-09 03:38

With such strong expectations of rate cuts, the crypto market is still falling... I really don't understand It's just officials being stubborn and data speaking for itself. If Citibank's prediction comes true, BTC will surge wildly When the non-farm payroll data is released, will it take off or crash? We'll find out this week Those who are accumulating at low levels are laughing now, just waiting for the Federal Reserve to strike Oil prices are so low, inflation is falling, and the easing environment is all in place, but the coins just won't move up. It's ridiculous

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screenshot_gains

· 01-09 03:28

Citi's prediction is quite aggressive, 100 basis points? The crypto market is really about to take off --- Unemployment rate is rising, everyone is waiting for the Federal Reserve to ease up, the market has already priced this in --- If the non-farm payrolls data really disappoints, next week’s BTC will definitely break new highs --- Here comes another round of rate cut play, where are the officials promising no cuts? Saying one thing and doing another, truly --- I believe in the service sector inflation easing, but is the job market really that bad? It still depends on the specific data --- Citi predicts 75 or even 100 basis points, if that happens, XRP doubling is not a dream --- The green light for easing has been given, now it depends on the non-farm payrolls data, the whole cycle seems to be reversing --- Oil prices low, inflation declining, macroeconomic conditions are really friendly to crypto enthusiasts, but don’t celebrate too early --- Stagnant job growth was already known to the market, what new tricks can the non-farm payroll report still pull? --- The most critical data this week is this one, BTC is waiting for the Federal Reserve to send a signal

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SwapWhisperer

· 01-09 03:28

Citibank's move is impressive, but I'm just worried the data will let us down again... However, with the unemployment rate rising so much, easing is really on the way.

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BearMarketSurvivor

· 01-09 03:27

Citigroup's prediction is too aggressive this time, 100 basis points? What kind of terrible data would that require? --- An unemployment rate of 4.7% is not even considered bad. Will the Federal Reserve really cut so quickly? Feels like Wall Street is just hyping it up again. --- Non-farm payrolls are indeed crucial this week, but it seems the market has already priced in too much. --- The rate cut expectations are back again. It happens every time, and in the end, it still falls flat. --- 75,000 new jobs... That number sounds outrageous. Is the US economy really that fragile? --- Wait, does a decline in service sector inflation mean we can relax? Don’t be too optimistic, everyone. --- Crypto circles are just watching non-farm payrolls; it’s too passive.

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PseudoIntellectual

· 01-09 03:23

Citi's prediction this time is really different; starting with a 75 basis point hike is a bit aggressive. --- Wait, with employment data so poor, does the Federal Reserve really dare to continue cutting? Feels a bit like a slap in the face. --- How the non-farm payroll numbers come out this week will directly determine January's market trend. I don't even dare to chase highs now. --- Oil prices at low levels and inflation falling back, the loose environment has indeed given the crypto market the green light. --- The unemployment rate hit 4.7%, but Citi still predicts 75,000 new jobs? The gap is too big. --- The key still depends on how the Federal Reserve decides in January; the market is now betting on that. --- $BTC now has to dance to the non-farm payroll data, truly impressive. --- By the way, who still believes the official statements? The market has long seen through them. --- The possibility of a 100 basis point hike is a bit scary; does 2026 really have to see a major change?

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