ADA能否延续涨势？Cardano Leios升级推进中的市场博弈

Question

【币界】Cardano的Leios升级在稳步推进，主要提案完成度已达67%，技术设计方面也实现了46%的进展。从机构端看，Grayscale的智能合约基金持仓中ADA占比达到18.55%，这在一定程度上增强了市场对这个项目的信心。

不过，最近的价格走势开始显露出一些疲态。ADA虽然一度接近0.40美元，但技术面上RSI指标已经趋于中性，与此同时链上资金流入也在逐步放缓。这意味着前面那波涨势可能后劲不足——抛售的压力正在浮现。

从目前的情况看，市场对这一轮上涨行情的可持续性还是有些审慎的。短期内能否突破关键阻力，还得看后续资金动向和技术指标的配合程度。

DAOTruant · Accepted Answer

Why is Grayscale adding so aggressively? 18.55%... Seems a bit suspicious. The technicals are already tired, and they still want to push in?

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Can ADA rise this time? It mainly depends on whether new funds will step in. The current hype has clearly cooled down.

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The RSI is already neutral, yet people are still talking about Leios upgrade. I know this routine too well.

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If the 0.40 level can't be broken, we might see a pullback. Grayscale's holdings don't necessarily mean the market will follow suit.

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On-chain fund flow slowdown is the real signal. Institutional buying and retail investors' participation are two different things in terms of price movement.

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Leios upgrade 67%... Honestly, this progress is quite standard, nothing particularly exciting.

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It feels like the ADA story should be coming to an end. Where's the next big breakout?

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Grayscale's money ≠ market hype. Don't be fooled by these numbers, brother.

MergeConflict · Answer

Haha, the slowdown in capital inflow is real. It seems Grayscale's 18% can't save the day either.

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ADA is testing people's patience again. Let's just pretend we didn't see the $0.40 level.

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Is the neutral RSI a sign to rest or to take action? I'm a bit unsure.

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Leios's upgrade progress is pretty good, but unfortunately, the price isn't cooperating. It's a classic case of technicals versus market sentiment tearing apart.

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Basically, it's a lack of capital support. This rally does feel a bit like a false start.

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Institutional holdings don't necessarily mean a rise is coming; history has already taught us that.

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Let's wait and see if it breaks a key resistance level. Right now, everyone entering is just a bagholder.

CryptoNomics · Answer

ngl the grayscale positioning is statistically significant but y'all are ignoring the divergence in on-chain volume metrics... RSI neutrality literally screams accumulation phase ending, correlation matrix doesn't lie

AirdropHunter007 · Answer

Bro, Grayscale is already at 18.55%, but funds are still slowing down... This is ridiculous.

Leios upgrade is 67% complete, sounds good, but why is the market so weak?

RSI is neutral, meaning no direction. Should we expect a crash or a rally? Anyway, I can't understand it.

$0.40 is just a paper tiger. If it can't break resistance, it will just stay sideways.

Institutional holdings are mostly fleeing quickly, this pace really messes with the mentality.

If this wave can't hold up again, the support levels below will be in danger.

Honestly, Cardano's upgrade this time feels a bit loud but with little impact.

Funds are flowing out in reverse, I really can't hold on anymore. How it will go next depends on the market makers' mood.

SandwichTrader · Answer

Funding inflows are slowing down, and this rally is indeed a bit fake.

Grayscale's 18% holding won't last long.

It's about to test Bitcoin's patience again; ADA's fate depends on following the trend.

With such weak technicals, breaking 0.4 would already be good.

Leios upgrade, keep going, or else it will really rely on hype to survive.

SleepTrader · Answer

Grayscale increasing holdings by 18.55% sounds impressive, but I see the RSI is already neutral, so the funds probably moved out a long time ago.

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Is it going to collapse at 0.40? It feels like this market trend is just institutions cutting the leeks.

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Leios upgrade progress is so high, but the market still looks so weak… I really can't hold on anymore.

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The slowdown in on-chain funds is a signal; I need to reduce my positions.

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It's the same old excuse, lack of momentum = a high probability of a correction, ADA still needs to wait and see.

LiquidityHunter · Answer

ADA this wave of market movement feels like a false fire, institutional bottom-fishing is no longer effective, and when liquidity loosens, everything collapses. The real test is still ahead.

GasFeeVictim · Answer

ADA's recent rally really can't be sustained, and Grayscale's 18% bottom-fishing can't change the fact that funds are flowing out. The RSI is neutral, so you know it's not looking good.

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Leios upgrade 66% completion sounds good, but prices don't lie... Still, better to wait and see.

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Can't break $0.40, on-chain funds are still withdrawing, so I don't dare chase the high. Let's wait to see if a bottom forms.

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Institutional money pouring in doesn't equal sustained market trends; I've seen this trick too many times. In the short term, we still need to be defensive.

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The capital flow is starting to turn around, and technicals don't have much support either. ADA might still need to ride the wave in the short term.

FomoAnxiety · Answer

This market rally is just fooling people. What's the use of Grayscale's 18% holdings... all the funds have already moved out.

Wait, RSI is already neutral, and you're still hyping Leios upgrade... it's just a paper positive.

GasFeeCrier · Answer

67% completion sounds pretty good, but the fact that RSI is neutral just ruins it. The real problem is the slowing of funds.

ADA能否延续涨势？Cardano Leios升级推进中的市场博弈

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