#预测市场 In Pantera's 2026 forecast, the most interesting part is the prediction of differentiated competition in the market—dual tracks of finance-oriented and culture-oriented approaches.
In simple terms, the market is doing a form of subtraction. Previously, prediction market platforms that tried to do everything either moved towards DeFi composable fine-grained tools or deepened community-driven long-tail scenarios—there's no third way. This is actually a signal for copy traders: in the future, it may be difficult to find "all-in-one" prediction market operators, and instead, traders will need to choose different styles—financial or cultural—based on their risk preferences and capital size.
Financial-oriented traders have larger leverage and liquidity staking space, suitable for systematic aggressive styles; cultural-oriented traders, although seemingly "smaller," are precisely where long-tail liquidity is poor, often offering interesting excess return opportunities. The key is not to be greedy and go all-in at once—divide your positions, allowing traders of both styles to each do their part.
If this forecast for next year truly comes true, there will be considerable room to adjust copy trading strategies. As for Jay Yu's 7/10 prediction accuracy earlier, I believe in it—not because he has predictive ability, but because he knows how to position himself ahead of trend divergence. That’s the real lesson worth learning.
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#预测市场 In Pantera's 2026 forecast, the most interesting part is the prediction of differentiated competition in the market—dual tracks of finance-oriented and culture-oriented approaches.
In simple terms, the market is doing a form of subtraction. Previously, prediction market platforms that tried to do everything either moved towards DeFi composable fine-grained tools or deepened community-driven long-tail scenarios—there's no third way. This is actually a signal for copy traders: in the future, it may be difficult to find "all-in-one" prediction market operators, and instead, traders will need to choose different styles—financial or cultural—based on their risk preferences and capital size.
Financial-oriented traders have larger leverage and liquidity staking space, suitable for systematic aggressive styles; cultural-oriented traders, although seemingly "smaller," are precisely where long-tail liquidity is poor, often offering interesting excess return opportunities. The key is not to be greedy and go all-in at once—divide your positions, allowing traders of both styles to each do their part.
If this forecast for next year truly comes true, there will be considerable room to adjust copy trading strategies. As for Jay Yu's 7/10 prediction accuracy earlier, I believe in it—not because he has predictive ability, but because he knows how to position himself ahead of trend divergence. That’s the real lesson worth learning.