Today’s market can be described as a "Data Explosion Friday." From Asia to Europe and the Americas, a series of major economic indicators and policy developments are being released one after another, potentially reshaping asset price expectations in the short term. Here are the key points to watch:
The U.S. Supreme Court is about to rule on the legality of Trump’s tariff policies, which concerns the stability of trade policies—there is still significant uncertainty. Meanwhile, he will discuss Venezuela’s oil extraction issues with oil industry executives, which could introduce new expectations and disturbances to the crude oil market. The policy meeting at 06:30 AM is also a key focus, as subsequent statements may trigger market reactions.
**China’s Economic Data Reflect Recovery Pace (09:30)**
December CPI data will directly reflect domestic consumption strength and economic recovery progress, serving as a crucial reference for understanding the future direction of the central bank’s monetary policy.
Industrial output and trade balance data from Germany and France, along with retail sales data from the Eurozone, will provide a clearer picture of Europe’s actual economic condition.
**North American Employment Data Sparks Volatility (21:30)**
The release of December non-farm payrolls, unemployment rate, and wage growth—three core indicators—will directly influence the Federal Reserve’s assessment of the labor market and inflation. These data will immediately impact U.S. stocks, bonds, and gold, causing direct price fluctuations. Canada’s employment data will also be released simultaneously, potentially triggering movements in the CAD.
**Consumer Sentiment and Inflation Expectations Reveal Truth (23:00)**
The University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Index and one-year inflation expectations will show the market’s actual judgment of the U.S. economic outlook. Speeches by Fed officials like Kashkari may also signal policy tilt.
**Trading Tips**: Focus on U.S. non-farm payroll data and Trump’s tariff/oil policy developments in the short term. The former determines the short-term market sentiment direction, while the latter could cause sudden volatility in crude oil and trade-related assets.
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ser_ngmi
· 9h ago
As soon as the non-farm payroll data is released, they start dumping the market. I've seen this trick a hundred times.
Really? Is Trump going to mess with oil again? This guy just can't sit still.
The CPI data doesn't seem to have much suspense; it's already cooled down.
Let's wait and see if the Michigan Index throws another curveball.
Tariff rulings? The US courts are just a joke; the outcome was decided long ago.
Tonight's non-farm payroll report—good luck to those betting on data exceeding expectations and getting wiped out.
Gold and US Treasuries are probably going to clash again these days. So annoying.
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SoliditySurvivor
· 01-09 04:19
It's another data bombardment day, I really can't keep up this time haha
Trump is causing trouble again, tariff policies are still undecided... veteran traders should know what this means
Non-farm payrolls are the main event, exploding at 21:30 sharp, gold, crude oil, and US stocks all trembling together
The moment CPI is released, you’ll know what the central bank is thinking—this signal is more accurate than anything else
Brothers who have added leverage, you better watch closely today, volatility can come at any moment
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SmartContractPhobia
· 01-09 03:53
Non-farm payrolls are coming. Are you all ready to be harvested? Haha
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liquiditea_sipper
· 01-09 03:50
Non-farm payrolls are coming, everyone. Tonight at 21:30, it's either take off or explode, with no third option in between.
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Trump's move this time is really brilliant. Tariffs, oil, policies all at once—retail investors should just go to sleep.
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It's another data-heavy Friday. I bet five cents that gold will go crazy.
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Honestly, I'm most concerned about the CPI. Let's see how the central bank moves afterward.
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The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index—this thing can fool me more than non-farm payrolls.
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No, is Trump talking to oil executives about Venezuela? Is crude oil about to take off?
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Tonight at 21:30, non-farm payrolls is really the ultimate test. If you hold on, you'll profit; if not, you'll get caught. It's that simple.
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I can't understand the European data at all. Anyway, I just follow the US data to sway.
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One word: focus on the US stock market today; everything else is just floating clouds.
Today’s market can be described as a "Data Explosion Friday." From Asia to Europe and the Americas, a series of major economic indicators and policy developments are being released one after another, potentially reshaping asset price expectations in the short term. Here are the key points to watch:
**Trump Policy Developments Stir Market Sentiment**
The U.S. Supreme Court is about to rule on the legality of Trump’s tariff policies, which concerns the stability of trade policies—there is still significant uncertainty. Meanwhile, he will discuss Venezuela’s oil extraction issues with oil industry executives, which could introduce new expectations and disturbances to the crude oil market. The policy meeting at 06:30 AM is also a key focus, as subsequent statements may trigger market reactions.
**China’s Economic Data Reflect Recovery Pace (09:30)**
December CPI data will directly reflect domestic consumption strength and economic recovery progress, serving as a crucial reference for understanding the future direction of the central bank’s monetary policy.
**European Economic Sentiment Releases Concentrated (15:00-18:00)**
Industrial output and trade balance data from Germany and France, along with retail sales data from the Eurozone, will provide a clearer picture of Europe’s actual economic condition.
**North American Employment Data Sparks Volatility (21:30)**
The release of December non-farm payrolls, unemployment rate, and wage growth—three core indicators—will directly influence the Federal Reserve’s assessment of the labor market and inflation. These data will immediately impact U.S. stocks, bonds, and gold, causing direct price fluctuations. Canada’s employment data will also be released simultaneously, potentially triggering movements in the CAD.
**Consumer Sentiment and Inflation Expectations Reveal Truth (23:00)**
The University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Index and one-year inflation expectations will show the market’s actual judgment of the U.S. economic outlook. Speeches by Fed officials like Kashkari may also signal policy tilt.
**Trading Tips**: Focus on U.S. non-farm payroll data and Trump’s tariff/oil policy developments in the short term. The former determines the short-term market sentiment direction, while the latter could cause sudden volatility in crude oil and trade-related assets.