Tomorrow night, the non-farm payroll data will be released, which is likely to be the key variable in determining Bitcoin's recent trend. The logic is actually simple, but market reactions are often unpredictable.

Let's first look at two extremes of economic data: decreasing unemployment rate and increasing employment numbers, which sound like good news, right? But in the logic of the crypto market, this could mean that the central bank might delay interest rate cuts, leading to a bearish outlook. Conversely, if unemployment rises and employment data weakens, the window for rate cuts opens, which could become a potential positive. This phenomenon of "worse economy, higher coin prices" may seem absurd, but it is a market reality.

Based on data performance, the market may evolve as follows: if the data is broadly positive, Bitcoin may face pressure, and attention should be paid to resistance levels above; if the data is broadly weak, Bitcoin might find support for a rebound; if the data meets expectations or contradicts each other, the market will most likely enter a consolidation range.

However, there are several risk points that must be remembered. Volatility before and after the release is usually intense, so beginners should observe quietly, and experienced traders should not underestimate the risk of sudden spikes. Always set stop-loss orders. Also, don’t rely solely on the data itself; the key is to see how the market digests this data—judging in conjunction with Bitcoin’s technical state at the time—to avoid getting caught in a trap. Stay observant, remain calm, and handling with composure is always the top priority.