Friday's non-farm payrolls have become a must-watch drama for market watchers. Citigroup issued a stern warning: if the unemployment rate in December really rises to 4.7%, it will be difficult for the Federal Reserve to maintain its stance, and there is a high probability of another 25 basis point rate cut in January. It sounds a bit bleak, but the data is there. The labor market is steadily weakening, employment growth has basically stalled, initial jobless claims are decreasing, and Indeed's hiring activity is also waning. Officials say they are not in a hurry to cut rates, but in reality, the market has already sensed the cooling trend. Citigroup's latest forecast predicts only 75,000 new jobs, which is close to zero growth. Once these data come true, the Fed's policy shift could happen faster than expected.

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MoonMathMagicvip
· 1h ago
Citibank's prediction is too bold; I'm just worried that the data might not be as bad as expected, which would be awkward... Speaking of the 75,000 new jobs, this number really can't hold up; it's not far from a recession. No matter how calm the Federal Reserve pretends to be, it’s useless; the market has long seen through it, with rate cut expectations coming one after another... Wait until Friday; this non-farm payroll data feels like it will shake up the entire market.
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TommyTeachervip
· 01-09 07:38
75,000 new jobs? This is like walking a tightrope. How much longer can the Federal Reserve hold back?
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GateUser-9f682d4cvip
· 01-09 05:50
75,000 new jobs? That's almost a negative growth. No matter how much the Federal Reserve pretends to be tough, it won't help.
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ForkTroopervip
· 01-09 05:50
75,000 new jobs? Is the Federal Reserve giving up?
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not_your_keysvip
· 01-09 05:37
Here comes the non-farm payroll data again, so boring. But this time, Citi is quite blunt—an unemployment rate of 4.7% would really make the Federal Reserve kneel. Let's wait and see the show on Friday; it's highly likely that the rate cut will be brought forward again. 75,000 jobs? That's almost gone, what does that mean? Time to buy the dip. The Federal Reserve may talk tough, but in the end, they still follow the market. A rate cut cycle is coming, everyone. If the labor market continues to weaken like this, it's really a bit scary. Will there be a hard landing?
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ChainChefvip
· 01-09 05:24
ngl the fed's recipe is getting way too bland rn... they're sitting there pretending they won't cut rates again but the market's already tasting it, yk? 7.5k jobs added is basically like serving a soufflé that never rose—just collapse waiting to happen
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