#比特币价格预测与投资主题 The prediction of Bitcoin's decline in December is quite interesting. On the 24th, the market was quite pessimistic, with a 16% chance of dropping below 80,000. By the 25th, it directly fell to 9%, and the probability of breaking below 75,000 dropped from 5% to 3%. Conversely, the chance of breaking above 95,000 has increased from never to 10%.

What does this indicate? In just one day, market sentiment has completely reversed. Those previously bearish are no longer as panicked, and some are starting to turn bullish. It seems retail investors are voting with their feet, believing that Bitcoin has a higher chance of moving upward. This rapid change in predicted probabilities is actually a barometer of market psychology.

The current question is, how long can this optimistic sentiment last? As the year-end approaches, capital flows are already prone to volatility. If any negative news comes out, the confidence built up could collapse instantly. Therefore, my advice is not to be swayed by these short-term emotional fluctuations; maintaining a steady mindset is the most important.