2026-01-09 05:33:00

The underlying logic of making money is actually very simple—ride a major cycle, let the market do the homework for you, and don't try to break the rules with cleverness.

What ordinary people really need to do well is one thing: recognize trends.

It sounds easy, but executing it is the greatest test of life. What's even more tricky is another problem—when the dividends fade and the market reverses, can you detect in time that the trend has died and then decisively exit? Many people get stuck here. Every gift in the world comes with an invisible bill behind it. Greedily accepting without watching the price often results in losing everything in the end.

If my perspective can inspire everyone on one thing, I hope it is this: the ability to recognize major trends, and also the ability to judge when they will reverse.

Ending and leaving are never easy. The same goes for a relationship, and the same applies to an investment cycle. If you're still struggling, it means your thinking isn't clear enough, and your unity of knowledge and action is still far away. Knowing but not acting is like having nothing.

Look at the stories of recent years—real estate, gold, A-shares, US stocks, even the crypto market... each cycle follows this rhythm. Sell at high, buy at low, and the course of life is rewritten. Simple logic, but the difficulty lies in execution.

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ETHReserveBank

· 01-09 06:03

Basically, recognizing trends is easy; knowing when to run is the real skill. I've stepped into this trap countless times. Pumping is easy, escaping at the top is hard. Most people die because of greed. That's right, the key is execution. If you ask me, I'm currently waiting for a reversal signal. Just listen, only a handful can truly do it. I'll continue observing the market. That's correct, but there's a vast ocean between knowing and doing. I don't think this cycle has ended yet; I will keep lurking. I understand, but when it comes to cutting losses, you still have to grit your teeth. I've seen too many people reluctant to do so. Simple logic, complex human nature. Ultimately, greed is the culprit.

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AltcoinTherapist

· 01-09 06:00

You're right, but the reality is that most people simply can't do it. Recognizing trends is easy, knowing when to run is the real skill. I’ve also learned this the hard way after falling into traps. --- The deepest lessons in the crypto world over the past few years are that every time I thought I saw through everything, I still got greedy and paid a heavy price to wake up. --- The hardest part is never the entry, but the moment you decide to sell. A shaky hand can wipe out everything. --- It sounds good in theory, but in practice, it really tests your mindset. Most people fail because they can't let go. --- This is the real insight: knowing that entering the market doesn't mean guaranteed profit, and you must also know how to exit completely. You need to master both. --- Real estate, US stocks, and the crypto world all follow this logic, but I think what's even harder is how to identify when to reverse your position. --- Ultimately, it's greed that causes trouble. Every time, I want to earn more, but in the end, I end up not making any profit.

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RealYieldWizard

· 01-09 05:53

That's true, but frankly, most people die at the "timely evacuation" step. I've seen too many cases. Identifying trends is easy; admitting that a trend is dead is too difficult. After observing these years in crypto, it's just like that. The ones who really make money are those who can be ruthless and cut losses. Honestly, knowing and doing are two different things. It's always like this every round, but some people still can't bear to cut losses.

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SchrodingerGas

· 01-09 05:53

That's true, but how many can actually do it? Just looking at on-chain data, I know that there are signs before each reversal—large wallet addresses start to disperse, liquidity dries up, and interaction costs skyrocket... but retail investors just can't see it, or even if they do, they don't dare to act.

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