#预测市场 I carefully reviewed Pantera's 2026 forecast, and the prediction about market segmentation is worth paying close attention to. The divergence between finance-oriented and culture-oriented paths represents a very interesting watershed from a trading logic perspective — the former aligns with DeFi leverage ecosystems, while the latter follows a community long-tail route, with completely different risk-reward profiles.

This also offers new ideas for our copy trading strategies. Previously, we might have evaluated traders on a single dimension, but now we need to consider which track their trading genes are better suited for. For example, high-frequency traders seeking deterministic returns might find their space and stability questioned after the market segmentation. Conversely, those with a keen sense for low-liquidity assets and long-term trends may find new opportunities in culture-oriented prediction markets.

Kraken announced the launch of prediction markets in 2026, aligning with their acquisition of tokenized stock projects, indicating that the entire ecosystem is moving toward more specialized segments. This is quite critical for copy traders — the speed of platform tool iterations determines who and how we can follow. In the past, we might have repeatedly looked for opportunities on centralized exchanges; now, we need to start paying attention to which top traders are worth following in prediction markets and tokenized assets.

Practical experience is the best teacher. These trend predictions ultimately need to be validated through actual copy trading. But at least now that we know the direction, we can proactively adjust our position sizing strategies and risk exposure.