#美国贸易赤字状况 Bitcoin just broke the short-term upward channel and is now bouncing between the 5/10-day moving averages. Although the 4-hour chart rebounded from the lower Bollinger Band, the rebound strength is insufficient, and the bears still hold the upper hand for now. The daily MACD has already formed a death cross and is showing increasing green bars, indicating a weak short-term momentum. However, the 4-hour RSI has moved out of the oversold zone, showing some signs of a rebound, but it cannot change the overall daily downtrend.

Currently, focus on a few key levels for trading:

**Short position idea**: Around 92,000, a quick hit and push down; this is a short-term resistance. Only if it breaks through can we consider a bullish outlook.

**Long position idea**: The 89,500 level must hold. Once stabilized here, you can try a small long position targeting 92,500 or even 93,000. But only if it stays above 92,000 can we confirm a trend reversal.

**Breakdown plan**: If 89,500 doesn't hold, the next support zone is between 88,000-88,500, which is a medium-term support area.

The market is bouncing back and forth like this, mainly range trading. Don't be greedy chasing the top or bottom. $BTC $ETH