Recently, what's interesting is the various voices predicting the short-term trend of Bitcoin in the market. According to current market forecasts, the probability of Bitcoin reaching $100,000 in January is only 26%, which indeed sounds not very optimistic. However, more people are betting on the $95,000 level, with a probability of 59%, indicating that the market still leans bullish, just with less aggressive growth expectations.
Looking at the downside risks, the probability of dropping to $85,000 is 43%, which is not small and suggests nearly half of the forecasts expect a significant correction. Further down, the probability of falling to $80,000 drops to 19%, which should be a support level in many people's minds.
Overall, market sentiment remains mildly optimistic, but risk pricing is quite thorough. Everyone is closely watching how this wave of Bitcoin movement will unfold.
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BetterLuckyThanSmart
· 01-09 11:50
The 95,000 level is really holding strong, but I still think the probability of a pullback to 85,000 is underestimated.
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RektButAlive
· 01-09 11:47
59% of people are waiting here at 95,000. So how will it break through then? Will there be another big sell-off?
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ApyWhisperer
· 01-09 11:27
26% to reach 100,000 is too low... This data shows that everyone is actually scared and more conservative than expected.
Recently, what's interesting is the various voices predicting the short-term trend of Bitcoin in the market. According to current market forecasts, the probability of Bitcoin reaching $100,000 in January is only 26%, which indeed sounds not very optimistic. However, more people are betting on the $95,000 level, with a probability of 59%, indicating that the market still leans bullish, just with less aggressive growth expectations.
Looking at the downside risks, the probability of dropping to $85,000 is 43%, which is not small and suggests nearly half of the forecasts expect a significant correction. Further down, the probability of falling to $80,000 drops to 19%, which should be a support level in many people's minds.
Overall, market sentiment remains mildly optimistic, but risk pricing is quite thorough. Everyone is closely watching how this wave of Bitcoin movement will unfold.