On the evening of January 9th at 21:30, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the first non-farm employment data for 2026. This figure could have a direct impact on the short-term direction of the entire crypto market.

The expected number is 60,000 jobs, with a previous value of 64,000. At the same time, the U.S. December unemployment rate will also be announced, with an expected value of 4.50% and a previous value of 4.60%. These two indicators often determine market sentiment over the next week.

Let's analyze some possible scenarios from a market perspective:

**If the data is below expectations** — the market may experience a phase of rebound. Liquidity will be relatively loose, and risk assets typically benefit.

**If the data exceeds expectations** — short-term liquidity tightening pressures may arise, increasing the risk of a pullback. Federal Reserve policy expectations may also adjust.

**If the data meets expectations** — this is the most challenging scenario to navigate. The market often enters a wait-and-see period, volatility narrows, and sideways consolidation occurs.

From a technical standpoint, BTC is currently stabilizing above the mid-line, and may continue to consolidate within a narrow range in the short term. If it tests the resistance at 91,800 and breaks through effectively, the upside target could be around 93,000. Otherwise, there remains a risk of further pullback, so maintain a high-altitude mindset and watch the performance of the upper resistance. This might be the rhythm before the upcoming news releases in the next few days.