The key to the short-term gold price trend still depends on the non-farm payroll data. If the data comes in strong, the expectation of the Federal Reserve continuing to raise interest rates will become more solid, and gold prices will face a new round of downward pressure; conversely, if the data is weak, market perceptions of the Fed will soften considerably, and gold might attempt to break through the 4500 level. Before the official release, traders usually choose to wait and see, expecting gold to fluctuate between 4455 and 4480.



From a technical perspective, the issue lies at the 4452 level. Gold rebounded from there, but the momentum was not strong enough. Next, close attention should be paid to the support zone at 4455-4460—if this holds, bulls still have a chance to test the 4480 resistance; if it is broken, the next support levels are at 4440-4430.

Based on this situation, the trading strategy is roughly as follows:

1. In the 4450-4455 range, consider buying in batches, with a stop loss at 4440, targeting 4480 and higher.

2. Once the price rebounds near 4485, consider a light short position, with a stop loss at 4495, and profit targets at 4450-4455.

The overall pattern still depends on the data, and right now, it’s more about the technical support and resistance game.
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LiquidityWizardvip
· 01-10 18:30
ngl the whole "nonfarm decides everything" narrative is kinda overplayed... statistically speaking we're looking at like maybe 60-70% correlation tops, yet everyone acts like it's gospel. anyway, 4452 bouncing weakly is theoretically interesting but empirically these mean reversion setups fail more often than not, so... yeah gonna sit this one out til we get actual conviction 📊
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shadowy_supercodervip
· 01-10 12:23
Pay close attention to the non-farm payroll data day; it feels like the 4455 level will either break or hold, with no middle ground.
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HalfBuddhaMoneyvip
· 01-10 03:18
If the non-farm data is strong, we'll just prepare to cut losses. To be honest, it's the Fed's rate hike expectations that have blocked the gold price.
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Ser_APY_2000vip
· 01-09 13:04
Only after the non-farm data is released do we realize that the bullish momentum in the 4450-4455 range is starting to weaken.
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AllInAlicevip
· 01-09 13:00
Non-farm data is a bomb waiting to explode.
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GasGuzzlervip
· 01-09 12:58
Before the Non-Farm Payrolls, this round of operation must hold at 4455, otherwise it will head straight to 4430. Entering with a gambler's mentality will only lead to losses. To be honest, the rebound at 4452 was quite weak, and it feels like the bulls are a bit hesitant. Let's wait for the data; trying to predict gold prices now is purely guesswork. It's better to observe first. That 4480 level? Don't overthink it. First, hold the support, and then talk. Otherwise, all efforts will be in vain. If this Non-Farm Payrolls report is truly weak and can break 4500, I would like to see it, but honestly, the probability is low.
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ForkLibertarianvip
· 01-09 12:56
Here we go again, non-farm payroll data is really crucial. Will it be 4500 or 4440? It all depends on the data's mood. Anyway, I'm already stuck at 4452, feeling a bit uncomfortable.
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ShamedApeSellervip
· 01-09 12:49
Non-farm data is a key factor that could potentially smash gold prices to the ground... Anyway, I’m waiting for the data before making any moves. Currently, with the 4455-4480 shaky market, who dares to hold a heavy position?
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LiquidatorFlashvip
· 01-09 12:42
4452, this threshold really can't be held. If 4440 is also broken, then we need to reassess the liquidation risk. Don't play with high leverage.
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SleepyValidatorvip
· 01-09 12:36
The non-farm payroll report is indeed the key; strong data means disaster, weak data offers a chance for survival—it's that simple.
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