Bitcoin Price Could Surge to $53 Million by 2050, Says VanEck—Here's Why

MEVictim · 2026-01-09T22:27:27+00:00

VanEck predicts Bitcoin could soar to $53.4 million by 2050, based on a 29% CAGR and "hyper-Bitcoinization." Even its base case suggests a $2.9 million price, driven by increasing global trade involvement.

MEVictim

2026-01-09 22:27:27

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Source: CryptoNewsNet Original Title: Bitcoin Price Could Surge to $53 Million by 2050, Says VanEck—Here’s Why Original Link: Global asset manager VanEck said this week that the price of Bitcoin could jump as high as $53.4 million by 2050, according to its latest long-term capital market outlook on the asset.

The astronomical price forecast represents the firm’s bull case in the scenario, which maintains a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 29% for Bitcoin over the next 25 years.

In that forecast, what the firm calls “hyper-Bitcoinization,” the top crypto asset would represent a sizable portion of settled domestic and international trades.

“In a ‘hyper-Bitcoinization’ scenario where Bitcoin captures 20% of international trade and 10% of domestic GDP, the implied value per coin could reach $53.4 million,” the analysis reads.

“This scenario requires Bitcoin to achieve parity with or surpass gold as a primary global reserve asset,” they added, “constituting nearly 30% of world financial assets.”

Granted, that’s the firm’s bullish forecast. But even VanEck’s base case shows a substantial price rise ahead for Bitcoin: It projects a 15% CAGR, leading to a price of $2.9 million per BTC by 2050.

In this scenario, VanEck forecasts that BTC will account for 5-10% of global trade, and 5% of domestic swaps. Additionally, it believes that central banks will have begun allocating up to 2.5% of their balance sheet to Bitcoin as a hedge.

With Bitcoin changing hands at $90,319, it sits nearly 3,100% off the firm’s 2050 base case. To reach the firm’s bull case, Bitcoin will need to jump more than 59,000%.

However, it is only 43% below the firm’s 2050 bear case, which assumes just a 2% CAGR and a projection of BTC at $130,000—just 3% above its most recent all-time high of $126,080, set last October.

The firm’s 2050 valuations have shifted slightly higher since they were unveiled in 2024. At that time, it provided a bull case of $52.3 million per BTC, while its base and bear cases remained relatively unchanged.

BTC4,55%

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GasBankrupter

· 01-12 20:39

530,000 dollars? Haha, will I go bankrupt or get rich when the time comes?

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TokenDustCollector

· 01-12 16:17

Haha, 530,000 dollars? What kind of nerve does VanEck have... Wait, this number is too outrageous, it feels like a science fiction story. It's about 2050, who can predict exactly, but I like this optimistic attitude. Whether I can see it alive then is hard to say, better stock up on spot holdings first. This report is built on how many assumptions... I trust my own intuition more than their analysis.

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ser_ngmi

· 01-11 12:37

$530,000? Haha, just hear it out. VanEck is just hyping again.

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HappyMinerUncle

· 01-09 22:57

53.4 million? Haha, I feel like this guy is talking about science fiction.

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staking_gramps

· 01-09 22:55

Half a million dollars for one Bitcoin? Haha, I’d have to live until 2050 to verify that, I probably can’t wait lol

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SatsStacking

· 01-09 22:49

Hmm... 53 million? Wake up, everyone. How many Satoshis would that take?

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Degen4Breakfast

· 01-09 22:48

53 million? smh, VanEck really dares to say that. Will there still be fiat currency then? Haha

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MEVHunter

· 01-09 22:47

$53m by 2050? lol vaneek doing the math on napkins again... let me run the numbers through mempool—those projections got more holes than a sandwich attack. what's their arbitrage spread on that thesis anyway, curious how they're pricing in the protocol exploitation angle here

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unrekt.eth

· 01-09 22:42

I think these numbers are a bit outrageous, but anyway, bitcoiner always talk about future predictions. This year they believe one thing, next year another.

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ShibaSunglasses

· 01-09 22:30

$530,000? Huh? How many times does that need to grow? VanEck is writing a novel.

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