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Why hasn't the altseason arrived?
Last year, many people were looking forward to an altcoin season, but what happened? It still hasn't materialized. Although major coins like BNB, SOL, and HYPE did hit new highs, they turned around faster than flipping a page, and now they've retraced 40-50%. What's going on?
Let's break it down.
The first reason — capital has been diluted
New narratives keep emerging, with new concepts and projects flooding the market. Funds that originally intended to enter altcoins are now dispersed in all directions. Some have entered new sectors, some have invested in hot new coins, and some are still hesitating. As a result, the momentum towards any single coin isn't strong enough, making it impossible to generate a substantial rally. The crypto market has only so much incremental capital — whoever grabs it, makes the profit.