After the market close on Friday, the capital markets released a series of significant signals. The CSRC's continuous actions, adjustments in the photovoltaic industry policies, and soft US non-farm payroll data—how will these combined messages influence the market rhythm next week?
**Speculation on High-Price Stocks Faces Stricter Regulation**
Tempu Co., Ltd. was investigated by the CSRC for suspected major omissions in its announcement, which triggered a market surge after hours. As a stock that soared 16 times last year, it had previously been suspended multiple times for investigation, but still surged against the trend upon resumption. This investigation likely means it will face continued limit-down pressure after resuming trading.
Deeper implications suggest that the overall speculative sentiment around high-priced stocks will be suppressed. Those stocks still under investigation and suspension will see funds fleeing due to regulatory concerns, triggering further declines. Under increased regulatory scrutiny, pure concept speculation and follow-the-leader hot money models are no longer applicable. Investors must remain vigilant against such risks.
**"Whistleblower" Reward Mechanism Upgraded**
The CSRC significantly increased the rewards for whistleblowers reporting securities and futures violations. Higher rewards will incentivize market participants to proactively report illegal activities, curbing insider trading, financial fraud, and other market-damaging behaviors at the source. This will boost the confidence of long-term investors and attract more long-term capital into the market.
Of course, after policy implementation, malicious reporting may occur, requiring regulators to further improve verification mechanisms. Overall, this marks an important step in the legal construction of the capital market.
**Accelerating Anti-Inner Loop in the Photovoltaic Industry**
Since April 1, the export VAT rebate for photovoltaic products has been canceled. In the short term, this will compress profit margins for some companies; but in the medium to long term, it is a key move to help the industry escape low-price internal competition. Small and medium enterprises lacking core technology will be accelerated out, with market share further concentrating in leading companies with technological advantages and scale.
The Photovoltaic Industry Association has long issued self-discipline initiatives against internal competition and proposed canceling export rebates, which the market has already anticipated. Currently, upstream companies are beginning to see profits rebound, midstream battery manufacturers are continuously recovering profits, and a performance reversal across the entire industry chain is highly likely by 2026. As anti-internal competition progresses, the new energy sector is expected to see valuation and performance double repairs.
**Weak US Non-Farm Payroll Data Improves External Environment**
US December non-farm payroll data was released—only 50,000 new jobs, below the expected 70,000 and the previous 64,000. After the data was announced, US stock index futures rose sharply, the FTSE A50 index gained, and the RMB exchange rate appreciated.
Although the market believes the likelihood of a rate cut by the Fed in January is low, this weak non-farm data still boosted US stock sentiment. If US stocks continue to rebound, it will support the linked rise of A-shares next week.
**Market Holds Above 4100 Points, Next Week Strategy Outlook**
The A-share market successfully broke through and stabilized above 4100 points, with an obvious bullish trend, increasing trading volume, and strong moving average alignment. In this environment, holding positions and maintaining a core position are the key strategies.
Considering weekend news, the overall sentiment is bullish. It is expected that on Monday, additional funds will enter, and the market may reach new highs. However, as bullish consensus strengthens, a shakeout is likely during trading, so mental preparation is necessary.
In sector selection, continue focusing on the technology mainline (commercial aerospace, AI intelligent agents, semiconductors, etc.), while also paying attention to the rebound opportunities of low-priced consumer stocks. Once the tech sector's upward momentum weakens, the market will quickly shift into rotation phases—at this point, grasping low-entry opportunities in sector divergence and rebound stocks will be a more prudent approach.
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ShibaOnTheRun
· 01-10 06:15
This wave of Tainpu has been directly investigated, the era of妖股 (speculative stocks) is coming to an end, and retail investors are still in a daze...
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The removal of subsidies for photovoltaic power generation has long been expected. Leading companies are making profits while small and medium-sized ones are struggling. This is industry upgrading.
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Non-farm employment added 50,000 jobs, yet the US stock market actually rose? This logic is a bit absolute.
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Stabilizing at 4100 points is only comfortable this weekend; those entering the market next Monday might get washed out again haha.
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It's the whistleblower mechanism again. Will reporting become a scenic spot? We need to be cautious about this.
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The tech sector still needs to be held firmly; I feel that the consumer rebound is a trap...
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The continuous death patterns of妖股 (speculative stocks), now it's good. Those suspended might have to run away.
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Semiconductors and commercial aerospace, the money should be flocking here.
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Looking at 4100 points, it seems quite stable, but the shakeout could be very fierce. Are you mentally prepared, everyone?
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GasFeeCryBaby
· 01-10 05:00
The妖股连续跌停这是必然啊,早就该收拾这些概念炒作了
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Photovoltaic anti-involution? Basically, small factories have no way out, big players eat the meat while small investors drink the soup
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Next week, holding 4100 steadily would be good enough, don’t think too much
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Whistleblower rewards increased, now the market manipulation will suffer haha
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The logic of tech rotation remains the same, AI, aerospace, semiconductors take turns to rally, endless
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Weak non-farm payrolls are actually good news? The US stock market logic is really messed up
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Consumer stocks rebound... how much can they recover, still just along for the ride
View OriginalReply0
OffchainWinner
· 01-10 04:56
This time, Tainpu really can't hold it anymore. Even the 16x妖股 has to admit defeat. The regulatory crackdown is not a joke.
Stocks at high levels are now like time bombs. Don't touch them.
Feeling like the 4100 points is stable and everything is fine? Even if there's a shakeout, you still need to cut losses and build mental resilience.
The anti-involution movement in the photovoltaic sector is actually good news. Leading companies are lying flat and winning, while small enterprises should exit.
The US stock market has shown some face; let's follow suit and share the benefits next week.
This wave of rotation between technology and consumer sectors is real. Let's see who can seize the divergence points.
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AllTalkLongTrader
· 01-10 04:52
That妖股 in Tample finally got hammered, but the real show is just beginning... Those suspended stocks are probably going to collectively escape.
Cancellation of export tax rebates for photovoltaic? Honestly, this is actually a positive. As the competitive companies die off, the leading ones take the meat, and we just get the soup.
Non-farm payrolls are so bad but US stocks still rose? Next week, A-shares do have a chance, but don’t be scared out by the shakeout.
Stay firm on technology stocks, don’t cut this wave.
The risk of妖股 has escalated; regulation is really not just for show.
Stabilizing at 4100 is a signal; next week will definitely surge.
To be honest, if you're still chasing high-priced stocks now, just wait to take the transfer.
Aerospace chips and such must keep a bottom position; only when rotation comes will it really be profitable.
Consumer stocks indeed need to catch up; don’t miss the opportunity to buy low.
US market sentiment is driving it, so next week should be good.
View OriginalReply0
All-InQueen
· 01-10 04:45
The妖股连续跌停,游资该清醒了,这波监管铁了心要玩真的
The Tample incident has sounded an alarm bell. Do high-flying stocks still want to continue? Dream on.
Next week, photovoltaic sector will face internal competition, and non-farm payrolls are weak, leading to a rise in US stocks... Hmm, this signal looks pretty good.
I am holding onto tech stocks and waiting for a shakeout to buy the dip.
Consumer stocks are worth a look; areas of disagreement are often opportunities.
After the market close on Friday, the capital markets released a series of significant signals. The CSRC's continuous actions, adjustments in the photovoltaic industry policies, and soft US non-farm payroll data—how will these combined messages influence the market rhythm next week?
**Speculation on High-Price Stocks Faces Stricter Regulation**
Tempu Co., Ltd. was investigated by the CSRC for suspected major omissions in its announcement, which triggered a market surge after hours. As a stock that soared 16 times last year, it had previously been suspended multiple times for investigation, but still surged against the trend upon resumption. This investigation likely means it will face continued limit-down pressure after resuming trading.
Deeper implications suggest that the overall speculative sentiment around high-priced stocks will be suppressed. Those stocks still under investigation and suspension will see funds fleeing due to regulatory concerns, triggering further declines. Under increased regulatory scrutiny, pure concept speculation and follow-the-leader hot money models are no longer applicable. Investors must remain vigilant against such risks.
**"Whistleblower" Reward Mechanism Upgraded**
The CSRC significantly increased the rewards for whistleblowers reporting securities and futures violations. Higher rewards will incentivize market participants to proactively report illegal activities, curbing insider trading, financial fraud, and other market-damaging behaviors at the source. This will boost the confidence of long-term investors and attract more long-term capital into the market.
Of course, after policy implementation, malicious reporting may occur, requiring regulators to further improve verification mechanisms. Overall, this marks an important step in the legal construction of the capital market.
**Accelerating Anti-Inner Loop in the Photovoltaic Industry**
Since April 1, the export VAT rebate for photovoltaic products has been canceled. In the short term, this will compress profit margins for some companies; but in the medium to long term, it is a key move to help the industry escape low-price internal competition. Small and medium enterprises lacking core technology will be accelerated out, with market share further concentrating in leading companies with technological advantages and scale.
The Photovoltaic Industry Association has long issued self-discipline initiatives against internal competition and proposed canceling export rebates, which the market has already anticipated. Currently, upstream companies are beginning to see profits rebound, midstream battery manufacturers are continuously recovering profits, and a performance reversal across the entire industry chain is highly likely by 2026. As anti-internal competition progresses, the new energy sector is expected to see valuation and performance double repairs.
**Weak US Non-Farm Payroll Data Improves External Environment**
US December non-farm payroll data was released—only 50,000 new jobs, below the expected 70,000 and the previous 64,000. After the data was announced, US stock index futures rose sharply, the FTSE A50 index gained, and the RMB exchange rate appreciated.
Although the market believes the likelihood of a rate cut by the Fed in January is low, this weak non-farm data still boosted US stock sentiment. If US stocks continue to rebound, it will support the linked rise of A-shares next week.
**Market Holds Above 4100 Points, Next Week Strategy Outlook**
The A-share market successfully broke through and stabilized above 4100 points, with an obvious bullish trend, increasing trading volume, and strong moving average alignment. In this environment, holding positions and maintaining a core position are the key strategies.
Considering weekend news, the overall sentiment is bullish. It is expected that on Monday, additional funds will enter, and the market may reach new highs. However, as bullish consensus strengthens, a shakeout is likely during trading, so mental preparation is necessary.
In sector selection, continue focusing on the technology mainline (commercial aerospace, AI intelligent agents, semiconductors, etc.), while also paying attention to the rebound opportunities of low-priced consumer stocks. Once the tech sector's upward momentum weakens, the market will quickly shift into rotation phases—at this point, grasping low-entry opportunities in sector divergence and rebound stocks will be a more prudent approach.