Recent market trends reveal an interesting contradiction: US stocks and gold are rising, while Bitcoin is falling. What is the underlying logic?



Non-farm payroll data provides the answer. The recently released employment figures show that the market has entered a strange "neither hiring nor firing" state—companies are neither expanding hiring on a large scale nor rushing to lay off employees. This stagnant employment situation reflects economic uncertainty.

When traditional assets (US stocks, gold) become safe havens under this macroeconomic dilemma, Bitcoin, as a risk asset, underperforms relatively. The divergence in their movements is a result of the market weighing growth expectations against risks.

On the other hand, a16z recently completed a multi-billion dollar fundraising round, continuing to inject funds into the crypto ecosystem, indicating that long-term optimists have not slowed down. However, in the short term, market sentiment is still digesting these macro signals, which is why we see this unconventional divergence.
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SocialFiQueenvip
· 01-10 05:17
Cough, it's that same "hedging" theory again... but I think it's probably just big players offloading their holdings. Not hiring or laying off sounds pretty strange; frankly, it's just the economy pretending to be dead. The fact that a16z keeps pouring money in is interesting, but in the short term, without positive sentiment, it's all pointless. Wait, when Bitcoin drops, gold rises? How does that logic even match up? Where's the supposed correlation? This year's market behavior is truly outrageous.
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consensus_failurevip
· 01-10 05:15
This is a classic risk-averse moment; the crypto world is always abandoned like this. Even a16z throwing money can't save short-term sentiment—that's the truth. No hiring, no layoffs? Uh, this economy is really a bit strange... Wait, is Bitcoin still falling? I need to check the current price. Gold can rise while cryptocurrencies fall, indicating that institutions still trust traditional assets more. I'm a bit annoyed by this market game; it's just noise in the short term. Looks like I need to wait a bit longer; big funds haven't entered the market yet.
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MetaLord420vip
· 01-10 05:10
This is a typical risk appetite shift. Large institutions are still increasing their positions, but retail investors have already exited. Is Bitcoin being disliked? Haha, it’s normal to see this right after the non-farm payroll data is released. a16z keeps pouring money in, but it’s useless. The sentiment is crushing the fundamentals. Wait, could this be the last dip before the bottom? In the short term, traditional assets are getting crushed. Hold on a bit longer, brothers.
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LiquidityLarryvip
· 01-10 05:03
Wait, a16z's billion-dollar fundraising can't move Bitcoin? This thing is a bit spooky. Honestly, it's still the macro environment that's too weak; throwing money at risky assets is pointless. The current state of no hiring and no layoffs indeed reflects everyone's wait-and-see attitude, so gold is in demand. In the short term, the market sentiment is too bearish, but holding long-term won't be a loss—this is a test of faith. When Bitcoin is hammered down, it's actually a good opportunity to accumulate chips; it all depends on who dares to buy the dip.
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