#2026年比特币价格展望 🚨 Are Bitcoin whales quietly reallocating their positions? There's some interesting insight behind the data



This past year, the actions of large coin holders have been somewhat subtle. About 220,000 Bitcoins are moving within the wallets of the big players — this doesn't seem like simple selling, but rather an adjustment of asset allocation. Meanwhile, miners are having a tough time. Hash rate growth has stagnated, and the root cause is twofold: losing money. When BTC price hovers around $95,000–$96,000, miners' marginal costs become the ceiling💸.

An interesting phenomenon has emerged — the one-year implied volatility of BTC has hit a historic low, dropping to 42%. There is an old market rule: low volatility often breeds change. Generally speaking, after a period of calm, the market tends to enter a few months of range-bound oscillation before igniting the next rally📈.

What does the current situation look like? Long-term holders generally have low costs, and mining remains profitable, but new whales are itching to take profits near $99,000. Although BTC is being suppressed, it hasn't reached free fall yet. The key is to wait — in a low-volatility environment, perhaps this is just the quiet before the next all-time high🎯.
BTC-0,07%
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TopBuyerBottomSellervip
· 15m ago
I think this analysis is a bit overly optimistic, the idea that miners' marginal cost is the ceiling... is that true? We’ve seen miners get through even tougher times before, and rushing to promote the narrative that low volatility = opportunity is a bit too cliché.
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liquidation_watchervip
· 01-10 06:49
Low volatility is the real danger signal, isn't it? The calm period is often followed by an explosion.
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SignatureCollectorvip
· 01-10 06:48
Low volatility brewing a big move—I've heard this theory too many times. Is this really the one?
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CryptoCross-TalkClubvip
· 01-10 06:47
Laughing to death, 220,000 Bitcoins are circling in the wallets of the big shots. Is this a repositioning or just playing "pass the handkerchief"? I can understand miners losing money, but what about us retail investors? We're all waiting for that low-volatility wave, just afraid it turns into an eternal motion machine. New whales near 99,000 are itching to act. I just want to know how long this "silence period" can last. My Dogecoin can't wait. A 42% volatility hitting a new low sounds like the market is holding back a big move. Who knows, maybe one day we'll get a roller coaster. If this is truly a silence period before the next all-time high, can my current holdings enjoy that wave of gains? Or is it just another dream for retail investors?
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DegenWhisperervip
· 01-10 06:44
220,000 tokens are being shuffled around, this pace is quite intense. Is low volatility truly the calm before the storm, or is it just staying flat like this all along?
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LiquidatedTwicevip
· 01-10 06:35
It's the same old "silence period nurturing change" rhetoric, tired of hearing it... But the movement of 220,000 Bitcoins does have some significance. The key point is that miners are losing money. Do people not understand what it means when hash rate stagnates?
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consensus_whisperervip
· 01-10 06:21
220,000 Bitcoins are circulating, and such a big move is still called subtle? I think it's either a shakeout or really starting to diversify risk. What does it mean that miners are losing money? It indicates that the price of 95,000 can't support the cost at all; a breakdown is necessary. A 42% volatility hitting a new historical low is indeed strange, but is this pattern really reliable? Low volatility brewing a big move? After hearing this explanation for so many years, in the end, it just oscillated for three months and stayed there. It feels like we've become numb to the talk. New whales are eager to take profits at 99,000, basically betting on a decline.
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