I have been immersed in this circle for 5 years, experiencing liquidation, falling into traps, and being cut for profits by project teams. Surviving until now is not due to luck, but a survival logic completely opposite to intuition. Every lesson learned was paid for with real money.

**During the day in China, it’s often retail investors panicking and selling off.** But don’t forget when Western and European traders start their day—they come online at night. Usually, just when you’re cutting losses, foreign capital is taking the opportunity to accumulate chips. Remember the 2023 SOL that was halved? I bought the dip during the crash in the daytime, and by the time US markets opened at night, it immediately rebounded 15%. This pattern isn’t absolute, but it offers a probabilistic advantage. The key is not to follow emotions but to learn to be the “fish catcher against the flow.”

**A violent surge at the opening, opening more than 3% higher? Most likely, the whales are setting a trap.** The MEME coin market in 2024 has given us many examples—these high opens often lead to a sharp drop after 10:30. What does a real breakout look like? It will stand firm at a key level for more than 15 minutes. If you don’t see this signal, better to miss out than become the bag holder.

**The denser the shadows on the candlestick chart, the more intense the battle between bulls and bears.** When the number of bulls and bears is close to a 55/45 split, the probability of a spike increases by 300%. A needle-like bottom often signals a buying opportunity; a needle top might be a sign to escape—provided it’s a coin you’re familiar with. Don’t try this on unfamiliar tokens.

**When major positive news is about to be announced, it’s actually better to run early.** Before meetings, releases, or financing news goes public, smart money has already positioned itself. When the good news is officially announced, the big players start to offload. This pattern is consistent across various types of coins.