2026-01-11 10:28:03

Recently, the major moves by the US in international affairs over the past two weeks have caused waves in the energy and metals markets. The topics of Venezuela's situation and Greenland's resources remain hot, indicating that the global non-ferrous metal supply chain is being reshaped, and the price ceiling is moving upward.

**US Stock Market: Small Rhythms**

Next week, US stocks are likely to continue grinding higher, with a good chance of breaking new all-time highs within January. However, be cautious: the concentration of capital is too high, making a sharp rally unlikely in the short term. In other words, there are not enough participants to fuel a big surge. By February and March, some internal turbulence may emerge, and the market's performance then is hard to predict. The current stance should be cautious optimism—don't be blinded by short-term gains.

**Bitcoin: Difficult to Break Through, High Risk of Pullback**

Bitcoin has been closely tied to the US economic situation in recent months. Although geopolitical factors have provided some support, the $100,000 mark has yet to be firmly crossed, and the bearish forces remain stubborn. Volatility this week is expected to be intense, with a high probability of a pullback after a rally. For now, just observe; there's no need to rush into the market. Waiting for lower prices is the smarter move.

**Hong Kong and A-shares: Currently a Good Window for Positioning**

A-shares may see some adjustments next week, but the overall upward trend won't change. Now is actually a good time to build positions. If you can't buy A-shares, you can also track the FTSE China A50 Index through triple leveraged instruments in Hong Kong. Recently, Hong Kong stocks have been under some pressure, but the rebound momentum is building. The key is to select the right stocks.

**Gold: Steadily Moving Up**

Gold will fluctuate as it pushes toward $4,500, which is normal. But don't worry—the support at $4,240 is solid, and the probability of a significant drop is very low. For those holding gold, think of it as a long-term investment. The bullish forces are gradually releasing, so patience is all that's needed.

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Rugman_Walking

· 01-11 10:57

Damn, $100,000 is really a tough hurdle to cross. --- Hong Kong stocks rebound? Choosing the wrong stocks is still a loss. --- Gold seems stable this round, just need to hold on. --- With such high concentration in US stocks, dare to chase? It might fall even harder later. --- A-shares are adjusting just right for a bottom-fishing opportunity. If you don't buy now, when? --- Bitcoin is still testing the waters. No need to rush, wait a bit longer. --- If Greenland really starts to get serious? We need to watch closely. --- If gold can't hold at 4240, then it's a problem. Currently, it seems fine. --- If there’s real turbulence in February and March, it will be quite a show. --- The courage to build positions now is indeed big, but as long as the direction is right.

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GasOptimizer

· 01-11 10:53

Bitcoin is still hovering around 100,000, really stubborn bears. The Greenland issue has been resolved. Can this wave of non-ferrous metals bring in the dividends? The current position in A-shares is indeed tempting for building positions, just worried it might be a trap again. Gold is steadily rising, this is exactly my style. With such high concentration of funds in the US stock market, it feels quite risky. Hong Kong stocks are accumulating momentum for a rebound, waiting to buy the dip. Bitcoin has been very volatile this week, just watch and don't rush to enter. The situation in Venezuela is heating up, are energy metals about to rise?

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degenonymous

· 01-11 10:47

This wave of geopolitical developments is really rewriting the game rules. Non-ferrous metals are about to take off. However, Bitcoin is still stuck around 100,000, which is really frustrating. Maybe I'll wait and see. The Hong Kong stock market is gaining momentum in its rebound. Now might be a good time to buy the dip. Gold is simple—hold onto it and don't mess around.

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StableGeniusDegen

· 01-11 10:46

The Greenland issue has caused a surge in base metals' prices. Waiting to see how Hong Kong stocks rebound in February; now is indeed a good time to buy the dip. Bitcoin is trying to lure me in again this week? Forget it, I'll wait a bit longer. Gold is stable; the 4240 level is a safety net. Holding onto it is the way to go. US stock funds are too concentrated; it feels a bit risky. A-shares building position window? Alright, I believe you this time. The bears still want to stubbornly hold on to 100,000? That's laughable.

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LiquidatorFlash

· 01-11 10:37

Bitcoin's threshold trigger point is really hard to break through. The $100,000 level has a massive accumulation of funds, and liquidation risks are definitely going to explode. Concentration of funds is off the charts. As soon as the collateral ratio moves slightly, a chain reaction will follow... Currently, those entering the market are just gambling. The support at 4240 for gold... looks a bit shaky to me. Historical data shows that this level has been broken too many times. The rebound in Hong Kong stocks depends on whether the trading volume cooperates; otherwise, it's just a fake breakout pattern. The risk of a pullback in the US stock market is real. Don't be fooled by the rise; February might not be so smooth anymore. A-shares correction is inevitable, but this time it’s really a good opportunity to position. In the long run, leverage ratios are within a controllable range. I give the probability of Bitcoin's correction at over 70%. The weekly technical chart looks very unfavorable.

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