2026-01-15 04:20:22

#数字资产市场动态 Listen to this logic——government deficits expand, national debt keeps growing, and the Federal Reserve quietly expands its balance sheet in some way, causing a large influx of dollar liquidity into the market. History has repeatedly confirmed a phenomenon: the Federal Reserve's balance sheet is like the propellant for Bitcoin, rising and falling in waves.

Hayes makes a bold prediction based on this framework: driven by liquidity, this round of market trend could push $BTC $ETH to the $200,000 level by early 2026. Does that sound crazy? But behind it stands the historical pattern of the Federal Reserve printing money.

The question is—is all of this really so certain? Can the Federal Reserve's "invisible operations" continue forever without cost? Is the market driven by government debt truly a reflection of Bitcoin's real value as "digital gold," or a sign of a new round of risk accumulation?

What do you think? Share your thoughts in the comments.

BTC1,69%

ETH1,82%

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HallucinationGrower

· 8h ago

$200,000? I believe in that logic, but the gamble is how long the Federal Reserve can keep printing. The question is, who knows? I've heard Hayes' argument many times, always claiming certainty, but what happens then... The real test will be on the day liquidity dries up. Instead of obsessing over digital gold, better ask when the US government will truly collapse—that will be the watershed.

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AirdropFreedom

· 8h ago

$200,000? When the printing presses stop, we'll all be caught off guard. --- Liquidity, to put it simply, is overdrawing the future. The question is, who will pay the price in the future? --- The Federal Reserve's "hidden operations" sound outrageous, but they have indeed been consistently effective... Will this time be any different? --- Don't just focus on the good news; the debt crisis sword has been hanging overhead, and it will fall sooner or later. --- Hayes' prediction is tempting, but those who bet on policies never changing are not easy to get along with. --- The same old story: when liquidity comes, it's crazy; when it leaves, it's ruthless... Get in early, and get out even earlier.

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YieldWhisperer

· 8h ago

okay but actually the math doesn't check out here. fed balance sheet ≠ btc pump, that's correlation theater. seen this exact narrative before—2021 called, wants its "printer go brrrr" back. $20k btc by 2026? lmfaooo tell me you didn't stress test the debt sustainability model

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GateUser-ccc36bc5

· 9h ago

$200,000? If the printing press keeps running, it's indeed possible, but this logic relies too much on the Federal Reserve. It feels like betting that the central bank will always bail out the market.

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OnChain_Detective

· 9h ago

nah, hold up—20k seems way too neat. lemme pull the data on fed balance sheet cycles... pattern analysis suggests we've seen this exact narrative before, and spoiler alert: it never plays out this clean. the "hidden operations" angle? classic rugpull signature energy tbh.

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