January 15th BTC Core Conclusion: Short-term oscillation leaning bullish, rely on 95000-94500 support for low buy, short sell opportunistically at 98000-99000 resistance zone, strictly control position size and stop-loss.

1. Key Indicators and Structure (January 15th)

- Price Performance: Intraday high of 97924, low of 94400, about 96800 before press release, oscillating within the 95000-98000 range.
- Moving Averages and Trend: Daily chart stabilizes above EMA30 (93006), EMA120 (91126); 4-hour EMA7/30 golden cross but bullish momentum weakens.
- Indicator Signals: Daily RSI(14)≈68.57, approaching overbought; daily MACD continues to expand, 4-hour MACD histogram contracts, bullish momentum slows.
- Key Levels: Support at 95000-94500, 93400; Resistance at 97000-98000, 99000-99500.

2. Executable Trading Strategies

- Low Buy Strategy (Conservative)
- Entry: Stabilize after pullback to 95000-94500, small position attempt to buy.
- Stop-Loss: Below 94000, risk per trade ≤ 2% of total capital.
- Targets: T1 97000, T2 98000, breakout targets 99000-100000.
- Short Sell Strategy (Aggressive)
- Entry: Encounter resistance at 98000-99000 and fall back, light position attempt to short.
- Stop-Loss: Above 99500, risk per trade ≤ 1% of total capital.
- Targets: T1 97000, T2 96000, breakout target 95000.
- Breakout Response
- Break below 94000: close long positions, wait or rebound near 95000 to add short, target 93400.
- Break above 99000: close short positions, follow the trend to buy on pullback near 98000, target 100000 key level.

3. Risk Control Points

- Position Size: Longs ≤ 30%, Shorts ≤ 15%, avoid heavy positions chasing highs.
- Stop-Loss: Strictly enforce, trailing stop-loss can be moved to breakeven after price breaks T1.
- Rhythm: Reduce positions and observe when 4-hour divergence or volume decline appears.