Last night, the CPI was released at 2.6%, below expectations. This should be a major positive signal for the macro environment, but instead, BTC fell, with a short-term decline of over 2%.



Many people are confused and privately ask me: "Is the market crazy? Why are good news still being sold off? Should I cut my position?" To be honest, this is a typical example of news-driven thinking—only focusing on headlines, unable to understand the true logic behind the market.

**So why does the market fall despite good news?**

The key lies in the word "expectation." Wall Street institutions have long sensed signals of inflation easing and started positioning themselves last week, pushing the price up in advance. When the data is finally released, it becomes the perfect window for them to unload their positions—retail investors see the news and rush in, providing them with an opportunity to offload. In simple terms, this decline is not a trend reversal but a necessary liquidity washout.

**And what are the opportunities after the washout?**

Trading cannot rely on guesswork; you need to learn how to "find" the right levels. You want to identify where the big players are willing to defend.

A practical method is to look at dense trading zones on the K-line—those resistance levels that Bitcoin struggled to break through before. Once broken, they turn into strong support. The low point of last night's pullback often coincides with a previous dense trading zone, which becomes your support level.

Another more precise tool is Fibonacci retracement. Draw the recent major rally and focus on the 0.5 and 0.618 Fibonacci levels. If the price pulls back to these levels and shows signs of stabilization—such as a noticeably long lower shadow—that is usually a good entry point on the right side. The problem is that many people miss these details and just follow the herd to chase highs and sell lows.
BTC-2,47%
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0xSherlockvip
· 3h ago
It's the same Wall Street trick of cutting leeks again; retail investors are always the last to take the fall.
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NFTArtisanHQvip
· 5h ago
ngl the whole "institutions front-run the news cycle" thing is like watching Benjamin's mechanical reproduction thesis play out in real-time... except the reproducibility here is algorithmic liquidity
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AllInAlicevip
· 5h ago
It's the same pattern again: institutions front-load their positions, retail investors end up holding the bag—an eternal classic script. Retail investors should learn to identify the dense areas on the K-line chart and not just focus on news to blindly gamble. The Fibonacci 0.618 level feels like it's about to be tested again. Wait for the lower shadow to lengthen before considering entering. This wipeout might actually be an opportunity; it all depends on who can see through it.
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GasGoblinvip
· 5h ago
It's the same old story. Retail investors are still reading the news, while institutions have already left, always one step behind. Institutions are truly ruthless; they set up the trap in advance just waiting to harvest. I need to study Fibonacci more carefully; there are indeed some nuances in those key levels. Alright, let's consider this cleanup as tuition. Watch out for the rebound afterward. Find support in the dense trading zone; next time, try this approach. If it doesn't work, continue to incur losses. Honestly, you still need to learn how to read the market; relying solely on news will eventually get you caught.
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SchrodingersFOMOvip
· 5h ago
Really, retail investors are always playing the game of "buying the dip and selling on the rise," while institutions have long finished their meals. That group on Wall Street is indeed cunning; they have already allocated their chips before the data is released. The idea of a dense trading zone is good, but you need to find the true support level where the main force is protecting the market. People who are skilled at Fibonacci trading make money; others are just gambling, including me. Every time there's good news, the market gets hammered down, and there are too many fools, which is why the market is like this. Reading charts is much more reliable than reading news; the mindset of news can be deadly. The 0.618 level is indeed prone to a rebound, but catching the bottom depends on luck.
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