According to the latest on-chain data from Glassnode, XRP’s market structure is beginning to resemble very closely the early 2022 phase — the period just before prices entered a prolonged weakening trend. This puts recent buyers in a difficult position, as both profit-taking and stop-loss pressures are increasing simultaneously.
Cost Structure Creating Tension
Glassnode states that the investor groups active over the past 1 week to 1 month are accumulating XRP at prices lower than their cost basis from the 6 to 12 months prior.
This gap is very important because:
Short-term buyers are in profit
Mid-term holders are experiencing losses
When prices cannot break higher, those in loss tend to sell to “exit” when they can break even
This mechanism creates a persistent selling pressure in the market.
Is History Repeating?
A similar pattern appeared in February 2022, when XRP traded around $0.78. Afterwards, the market entered a prolonged decline cycle, pushing the price down to around $0.30 in mid-year.
Although history does not always repeat exactly, the recurring cost structure among investors makes many experts cautious.
The $2 Level – A Major Psychological Barrier
Currently, XRP is struggling around the $2 mark — a psychologically significant threshold.
Glassnode data shows:
Since mid-2025, each retest of the $2 region has been accompanied by:
$500 million to $1.2 billion in recorded weekly losses
This indicates that many investors prefer to sell at this level rather than hold on.
In other words, instead of being an accumulation zone, the $2 mark has become an “escape route” for those stuck holding.
The Battle Between Supply and Demand
At present, the XRP market is stuck in a standoff:
Short-term buyers continue to accumulate at lower prices
Long-term holders are waiting for an opportunity to exit as prices rebound
When prices stay below $2 for too long, the selling pressure from those holding above will intensify. The more buyers at the previous peak, the more the market must absorb this supply before entering a sustainable upward cycle.
Conclusion
The current pattern does not definitively mean XRP will repeat the deep decline of 2022. However, the divergence in cost basis among investor groups creates a fragile market structure.
If XRP does not convincingly break above the $2 region soon, selling pressure from high-level buyers will continue to weigh on the medium-term price trend.
The market is not short of buyers — but it is also not short of sellers waiting to exit. And that is what keeps XRP in a tense “stuck” state.
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XRP Pattern Repeats February 2022: Pressure Is Weighing Heavily on Buyers Recently
According to the latest on-chain data from Glassnode, XRP’s market structure is beginning to resemble very closely the early 2022 phase — the period just before prices entered a prolonged weakening trend. This puts recent buyers in a difficult position, as both profit-taking and stop-loss pressures are increasing simultaneously. Cost Structure Creating Tension Glassnode states that the investor groups active over the past 1 week to 1 month are accumulating XRP at prices lower than their cost basis from the 6 to 12 months prior. This gap is very important because: