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#BTC行情分析 BTC Still Wants to Win Gold Again, Breaking Historical Oversold Signals to Welcome a Super Bull Market
On January 21, the RSI (Relative Strength Index) of Bitcoin relative to gold has fallen below 30 in extreme oversold conditions four times in history, in 2015, 2018, 2022, and 2025. Each time, the trend ultimately ended with a strong rebound in Bitcoin.
In 2015, at the end of the bear market, Bitcoin's RSI relative to gold fell below 30, then started a super bull market from 2016-2017;
During the 2018 bear market, Bitcoin fell over 40% while gold rose nearly 6%. After RSI fell below 30, Bitcoin rebounded more than 770% from its 2020 lows;
In the 2022 bear market, Bitcoin dropped nearly 60%. After RSI fell below 30, Bitcoin's rebound again outperformed gold; from the end of 2025 to now, witnessing this historic oversold signal for the fourth time, gold surged 64% in 2025, and in the first 20 days of this year, it rose another 10%. Meanwhile, Bitcoin's RSI relative to gold has once again fallen into the oversold zone.