📊 BTC/USDT 4H Technical Deep Dive

1. Trend Structure and Moving Average Patterns

The price started a unilateral decline from the previous high of 97,941.6 USDT, finding support at 87,256.2 USDT, and entered a rebound correction phase. Currently, the price stabilizes above the 89,600 USDT level. The short-term MA5 and MA10 form a golden cross, and the price is above the short-term moving averages, indicating a temporary bullish momentum; however, MA20, MA30, MA50, and MA100 remain in a bearish arrangement, with the price being suppressed by MA20 (90,415.4 USDT). The medium-term downward pressure has not been alleviated. This move is only an oversold technical correction, and a trend reversal remains to be confirmed.

2. Volume-Price Relationship and Capital Flow

During the rebound phase, trading volume increased moderately compared to the decline phase. The volume moving averages turned upward simultaneously, indicating capital returning to the market and accumulation of buy orders at low levels. Short-term funds are beginning to position themselves. However, the volume has not experienced a breakthrough expansion, and the strength of capital support for a trend reversal is insufficient. Most of the current volume increase is due to short-term funds covering previous positions, not large-scale entry of new trend-following capital. Caution is advised for potential volume contraction and a pullback after the rally.

3. Multi-Dimensional Technical Indicator Validation

• MACD: DIF and DEA are closely aligned below the zero line. After the green bars gradually narrowed, red bars appeared, indicating a slight recovery in short-term bullish momentum. However, the indicator has not broken above zero, only signaling a weak rebound. A trend reversal requires the MACD to effectively cross above zero and for the red bars to continue expanding.

• RSI: Currently at 40.2, in a neutral to slightly weak zone, not yet in overbought or oversold territory. There is still potential for a short-term rebound, with no clear signs of momentum exhaustion. Attention should be paid to any upward turning signals; if the RSI encounters resistance near the 50 level and falls back, it could trigger a phase correction.

4. Key Price Levels and Market Dynamics

Resistance Levels

1. 90,415 USDT: The MA20 acts as a direct resistance, serving as the first key obstacle for a short-term rebound. A genuine breakout requires volume support; without volume, upward attempts are likely to encounter resistance and fall back.

2. 92,567 USDT: The MA100 line is a core point for medium-term trend reversal. A volume-supported breakthrough here would break the medium-term bearish pressure and open the way for further upward movement.

Support Levels

1. 89,665 USDT: The MA5 support level, also the lower boundary of the recent rebound consolidation platform, is an important short-term bullish defense line. Falling below this level would weaken the rebound trend, trigger short-term long positions to exit, and cause the price to return to consolidation.

2. 87,256.2 USDT: The previous low during the decline and the starting point of this rebound, representing a short-term trend watershed. A confirmed break below this level would mean the rebound has failed, and the price would resume downward movement.

Overall, BTC/USDT on the 4-hour chart is in a recovery rebound phase after an oversold condition. Short-term bullish momentum has slightly improved, but medium-term moving averages still exert resistance. The subsequent trend depends on the volume breakout of the 90,415 USDT key resistance and the support strength below. The combination of volume and price action will be crucial for the continuation of the trend.#Gate每10分钟送1克黄金