📊 BTC/USDT 4H Technical Deep Dive Analysis

1. Trend Structure and Moving Average Patterns
The price has been declining unilaterally from the previous high of 97,888.0 USDT, finding support at 87,210.5 USDT, and has entered a correction phase. Currently, the price stabilizes around the 89,559.0 USDT level. Short-term MA5 and MA10 form a golden cross and then converge again, with the price oscillating around the short-term moving averages, indicating a phase of balanced bullish and bearish forces; however, MA20, MA30, MA50, and MA100 remain in a bearish arrangement, with the price under MA20 (89,598.1 USDT) pressure, suggesting medium-term downward pressure persists, and the correction has entered a consolidation phase.

2. Volume-Price Relationship and Capital Flow
Recently, during the consolidation phase, trading volume has decreased compared to the rebound period. The volume moving averages have turned downward simultaneously, indicating reduced willingness of market funds to absorb positions. The bulls and bears are in a stalemate. Currently, there is no panic selling volume, showing selling pressure has eased, but volume has not expanded significantly. Attention should be paid to the direction after the volume consolidates; if volume breaks support with increased selling, the downside risk will further intensify.

3. Multi-Dimensional Technical Indicator Validation
• MACD: DIF and DEA are closely aligned below the zero line. After the green bars narrow, red bars appear, indicating a short-term bullish momentum is recovering. However, the indicator has not broken above zero, still signaling weakness. A trend reversal in the medium term requires the MACD to effectively cross above zero and for red bars to continue expanding.

• RSI: Currently at 43, in a neutral to slightly weak zone, not yet entering overbought or oversold territory. Short-term oscillations still have potential space, with no clear signs of momentum exhaustion. Watch for an upward turn in the RSI; if it encounters resistance near the 50 level and falls back, it will likely trigger a phase correction.

4. Key Price Levels and Market Battles
Resistance Levels
1. 89,598 USDT: The MA20 directly suppresses this level, serving as the first key resistance for short-term rebounds. Effective breakthrough requires volume support; without volume, upward attempts are likely to encounter resistance and fall back.
2. 92,236 USDT: The MA100 moving average acts as a core resistance for medium-term trend reversal. A volume-supported stabilization above this level will ease medium-term bearish pressure and open up further upside space.

Support Levels
1. 89,696 USDT: The MA5 support level, also the lower boundary of recent consolidation, is an important short-term bullish defense level. Falling below will weaken the correction trend, trigger short-term long exits, and cause the price to revert to a weak oscillation.
2. 87,210.5 USDT: The previous low and the current rebound starting point mark a short-term trend watershed. A confirmed break below this level would mean the correction has failed, and the price will resume downward movement.

Overall, the BTC/USDT 4-hour chart is in a consolidation phase after an oversold correction. The bullish and bearish forces are temporarily balanced, but medium-term downward pressure remains. The key to the next move depends on whether the volume can break through the 89,598 resistance level and the strength of support below. The combination of volume and price action will be crucial for the continuation of the trend.#特朗普取消对欧关税威胁