The Strait of Hormuz isn’t just a global chokepoint…


It’s Iran’s economic lifeline.
~90% of their oil exports pass through it
Oil = ~60–80% of export revenue
They can weaponize it short-term…
But keeping it closed long-term = cutting off their own cash flow.
If the U.S. steps away…
Iran won’t keep it closed.
Chess, not checkers.
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