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资本轮动变得有趣起来。
比特币ETF在单日拉入$167M ,打破了流出趋势。3月份的流入已达~$2.5B,接近翻正YTD表现。
与此同时,黄金ETF大幅出血,流出~$22B 。
这是明确的叙事转变——资金正缓慢从传统避险资产轮动到数字价值储存。
但放大视角看…
BTC/黄金比率仍卡在多年范围内。即使本月$BTC 表现超过~32%,我们还没有脱离困境。
如果这按照前几个周期的模式发展,在真正的扩张阶段之前,相对于黄金再出现一次相对回调并非不可能。
流动性转向看涨,但结构仍然暗示在获得完全确信之前需要耐心。