Miser sur la victoire de Trump est aussi "Bougie à longue mèche", un trader a conclu une transaction de 275 000 dollars lorsque la probabilité de victoire de Trump était de 99 %.

BlockBeats News, on October 25th, according to CoinDesk, earlier this week, the probability of Donald Trump winning the presidency on Polymarket briefly soared to 99%, due to low liquidity combined with short-term continuous purchases by some users, resulting in temporary pricing errors in the order book. Data shows that user ‘GCorttell93’ purchased over 4.5 million Trump victory bets on the ‘2024 Presidential Election Winner’ market, spending over 3 million dollars in a short period of time. Due to the mechanism of the order book, the odds of the purchase of 275,000 dollars reached 99% when actually executed. Although the actual market odds at the time were about 63%. Currently, the trading volume of bets on ‘2024 US Presidential Election Winner’ on Polymarket exceeds 2.2 billion dollars, with Trump leading with a 63% chance of winning.