Polymarket menyangkal hasil penyelesaian "serangan ke Venezuela" yang memicu ketidakpuasan pengguna

Odaily Planet Daily News - Multiple Polymarket users are dissatisfied with the platform’s refusal to classify recent U.S. military actions in Venezuela as an “invasion” and settle related prediction markets accordingly. The controversy centers on the fact that Polymarket believes the relevant actions do not meet the definition of “invasion” in its market, and therefore refuses to pay winnings to participants who bet on “the U.S. will invade Venezuela.”

The article points out that some users believe that U.S. military entry into Venezuela, the detention of the president and spouse, and the announcement of U.S. “takeover” of related affairs should constitute an invasion. However, Polymarket stated in its explanation that the market only refers to “military operations aimed at establishing control,” and indicated that the relevant actions did not meet its determination standards. The platform has not responded to media inquiries on this matter.

The commentary article further points out that the gray areas in prediction markets regarding event definitions, question formulations, and outcome determinations may bring uncertainty risks to participants, especially in cases involving major geopolitical or military events. The article argues that this controversy highlights the problems of concentrated rule interpretation rights and limited transparency in prediction markets, and has also sparked discussions among some users about fairness and potential conflicts of interest. (MarketWatch)