AI Weekly Hotspot Report (09.12 - 09.19)

You are reading the weekly industry hotspot report generated for you by Gate AI Lab. Here is a summary of the most noteworthy market trends and important events from last week, along with recommended investment analysis and financial strategies.

Word count: 9206 words ｜ Reading time 12.4 minutes.

Table of Contents:

1. Market Trends
2. Analysis of Capital Flow and Price Fluctuations
3. Hot Topics
4. Major Events
5. Global Policies
6. Investment Analysis

1. Market Trends

1.1. Market Sentiment

This week, the total market capitalization of cryptocurrencies reached $4.11 trillion, a month-on-month increase of 1.63%. Trading volume on exchanges increased by 3.21% month-on-month, reaching $189.2 billion. The price of Bitcoin is $117,153.33, with a slight drop of 0.32% within 24 hours. The overall market shows a relatively strong fluctuation pattern, with investor sentiment being cautiously optimistic.

According to the Gate Fear and Greed Index, today's market sentiment is normal, with a Fear and Greed Index of 53. It has slightly increased compared to yesterday, but it remains in the neutral range, indicating that the overall market sentiment is stable.

Crypto & Tradition Overview as of 09am UTC+8, Sep 19

1.2. Macroeconomic Impact

Recent data shows that the global economic recovery is slowing down, and inflationary pressures are persistent. The Eurozone's CPI year-on-year for August is 2.60%, higher than the expected 2.50%; the United States' CPI year-on-year for August is 2.70%, lower than the expected 2.80%. The probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates by 25 basis points in September is 95.40%, while the probability of keeping it unchanged is 4.60%.

The Producer Price Index is a leading indicator of inflationary pressures. The Eurozone's PPI for August was 0.80% month-on-month and 10.60% year-on-year, indicating increasing upstream cost pressures. The U.S. PPI for August was -0.10% month-on-month and 2.80% year-on-year, with a decline greater than expected. The Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index reflects the state of the real economy. The initial value of the Eurozone's Manufacturing PMI for September was 49.60, remaining in the contraction zone for the third consecutive month. The initial value of the U.S. Manufacturing PMI for September was 49.00, below the expected 50.40.

Overall, the high inflation and economic slowdown create a policy dilemma for the Federal Reserve. The cryptocurrency market may continue to experience volatility in the short term, but the long-term outlook is promising. As regulations become clearer and institutional funds continue to flow in, crypto assets are expected to gain broader recognition.

1.3 Financial Calendar

Analysis Summary:

This week's important economic data mainly focuses on manufacturing PMI, GDP, durable goods orders, and inflation data. Among them, the year-on-year core PCE price index for August and the final value of the Michigan University consumer confidence index for September are rated as highly significant. The core PCE is an inflation indicator closely monitored by the Federal Reserve, and the data will influence the subsequent interest rate hike path. The consumer confidence index reflects consumers' views on the economic outlook and has guiding significance for future consumption and economic growth.

In addition, the final value of the annualized quarter-on-quarter GDP for the second quarter in the U.S. and the month-on-month durable goods orders for August are also moderately important data points. The former reflects the state of economic growth, while the latter reflects corporate capital expenditure. The manufacturing PMI data will provide a reference for assessing manufacturing activity. Investors will closely monitor the above data to gauge the economic fundamentals and anticipate the direction of central bank monetary policy.

2. Fund Flow and Price Volatility Analysis

2.1. Price Volatility Analysis

BTC Weekly Volatility: Based on the daily closing prices of BTC over the past week, the weekly volatility of BTC is 0.83%.

The price of BTC showed a trend of rising first and then falling this week. At the beginning of the week, the price of BTC broke through the $117,000 mark, reaching a high of $117,902.60. However, affected by negative news, the price of BTC once fell back to $116,436.40. Nevertheless, over the weekend, the price of BTC regained upward momentum, closing at $117,430.00 on Friday.

Price fluctuations are mainly caused by factors such as the expectation of interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve, changes in the attitudes of institutional investors, and the strengthening correlation between Bitcoin and traditional financial markets. Changes in trading volume also have a certain impact on price trends. The increase or decrease in daily trading volume is often positively correlated with the magnitude of price fluctuations.

Overall, the BTC market activity has increased this week, and traders remain cautiously optimistic about the future. The price may fluctuate around $117,000 in the short term, with attention on the possibility of breaking above $117,900 or dropping below $116,400.

2.2. Capital Market Analysis

According to the latest data, funds are flowing into Solana(, XRP, and other altcoins. Investors appear to be gradually reducing their holdings in stablecoins, seeking higher-risk, higher-return investment opportunities instead. This flow of funds may drive up the prices of these altcoins.

At the same time, the inflow of mainstream cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin ) BTC ( and Ethereum ) ETH ( has not shown significant changes. This indicates that investors' confidence in these cryptocurrencies remains strong, but it is also possible that funds have temporarily flowed to other investment targets.

Overall, the activity in the cryptocurrency market has increased, and investors are seeking more investment opportunities. However, investors also need to remain vigilant about the high risks associated with altcoins.

On the other hand, the flow of funds from institutional investors still needs to be further observed. If a large amount of institutional funds flows into the cryptocurrency market, it could bring new vitality and momentum to the entire market.

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) 2.3. Smart Money Analysis

The flow of smart money often predicts market trends. By analyzing the changes in large order transaction volumes, we can gain insight into the movements of institutional funds.

BTC Large Order Analysis The recent large order transaction volume of BTC shows an increasing trend, indicating that institutional funds are flowing in. This could mean a strengthening of bullish forces, and BTC may continue its upward trend in the future.

ETH Large Order Analysis Unlike BTC, the large order transaction volume of ETH has recently declined, suggesting that institutional funds are withdrawing. This may bring some selling pressure to ETH, which could face downward risks in the future.

Other Cryptocurrency Analysis In addition to BTC and ETH, the large transaction volumes of popular cryptocurrencies such as SOL and XRP are also worth paying attention to. Changes in large orders for these cryptocurrencies may affect the overall market trend.

Overall, the flow of smart money indicates that bullish forces may dominate the trend of BTC, while ETH may face some selling pressure. However, the market is volatile, and we still need to closely monitor subsequent changes.

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3. Hot Topics

According to the provided data, the most frequently discussed hot topic in the past week is "The Battle between Hyperliquid and Aster". Here are the relevant topic reports:

) 🔥Hyperliquid vs. Aster: The "New King vs. Old King" Battle in the Crypto World🔥

The new rising star in the crypto world Aster is making a rapid advance, can it shake the king status of Hyperliquid?

Recently, the rise of the newcomer Aster in the crypto world has attracted widespread attention. As a potential competitor to Hyperliquid, Aster's emergence has undoubtedly delivered a heavy blow to the crypto space. With the continuous growth of both parties' strengths, a "new king vs old king" battle is unfolding.

Hyperliquid: The Decline of the Old Dominator

As the "big brother" of the cryptocurrency space, Hyperliquid has long held a dominant position. Its innovative decentralized trading model, robust ecosystem, and large user base have allowed it to remain steadfast in the crypto space. However, recently, Hyperliquid's development seems to have encountered a bottleneck.

According to the data, the discussion heat around Hyperliquid continues to decline, and users have certain doubts about its prospects. Some analysts believe that issues such as insufficient innovation drive and weak ecological expansion of Hyperliquid are gradually becoming apparent.

"Hyperliquid is facing significant competitive pressure from Aster, and CZ may use Aster to suppress Hyperliquid's market share," said well-known crypto analyst Crypto King.

Aster: The Crazy Impact of a Rising Star

In stark contrast to the decline of Hyperliquid, the development of Aster can be described as thriving. As a brand new decentralized trading platform, Aster is rapidly rising with its innovative trading model and strong support from CZ.

Data shows that the discussion popularity and market performance of Aster are continuously rising. More and more users are starting to pay attention to this "newcomer", believing it has the potential to become a strong competitor to Hyperliquid.

"The ecological potential of Aster is immense, but the user experience still needs improvement. However, with strong support from CZ, Aster is likely to become the 'killer' of Hyperliquid." This is the assessment of seasoned investor Crypto Whale.

Market trends are highly sought after

In the confrontation between Hyperliquid and Aster, the market seems to have split into two factions. Some investors remain steadfast in their traditional position on Hyperliquid, believing it will continue to dominate the crypto space in the long term. However, there are also many "turncoat" investors who are starting to look favorably on Aster's prospects and are directing their attention to this "newcomer."

According to the data, Hyperliquid's price has dropped by 2.6% in the past week, while Aster has increased by 33.88%. This trend undoubtedly intensifies the competition between the two.

However, the outcome of this "new king vs old king" struggle remains to be seen over time. But it is certain that the future landscape of the crypto space will undergo profound changes as a result. We will wait and see!

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4. Key Events

The following are the Top 15 events that have significantly impacted the cryptocurrency market in the past seven days:

) SEC approved general listing standards for crypto ETFs On September 19, 2025, at 08:28:25, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) made a significant decision to approve the listing standards for cryptocurrency funds, which is regarded by the industry as "the end of an era." The review time was drastically reduced from 240 days to 75 days, and Bloomberg senior analyst Eric Balchunas predicts that over 100 cryptocurrency ETFs will be listed in the next 12 months. This decision marks a huge shift in the SEC's attitude towards cryptocurrencies, opening the door for digital assets to enter mainstream financial markets.

XRP ETF launched in the United States

On September 19, 2025, at 05:17:03, Osprey's XRPR ETF achieved a trading volume of $24 million within 90 minutes, surpassing the XRP futures ETF. The ETF holds a basket of XRP-related assets, with 59% being CME's CF XRP-USD reference rate and 39% being CoinShares' products. This event demonstrates the growing acceptance of digital asset ETFs, including meme coins, in the mainstream.

Brera Holdings transforms into Solana

On September 19, 2025, Brera Holdings announced on September 18 that it would transform into a Solana-based digital asset treasury and crypto infrastructure company, and rebranded as Solmate, leading to a stock increase of over 280%.

SOL breaks through 250 US dollars

2025-09-19 05:04:15 SOL has risen above 250 dollars, currently quoted at 250.03 dollars, with a 24-hour increase of 6.6%.

Cardano Millionaire Analysis

On September 19, 2025, at 05:04:10, the analyst provided a detailed numerical analysis, using real mathematics instead of guesswork, explaining how many ADA tokens need to be held at different ADA price levels to achieve a millionaire portfolio.

The Canadian police seized assets from the Tradeogre exchange.

On September 19, 2025, the Royal Canadian Mounted Police seized over 56 million Canadian dollars in cryptocurrency related to the exchange Tradeogre, marking what the agency calls the largest national digital asset recovery event, and also the first time Canadian law enforcement has dismantled a cryptocurrency trading platform.

Aster token debuted with a surge of 550%

2025-09-19 00:30:07 Aster ###$ASTER( token's debut price reached $0.58, rising over 500% within just a few hours. Aster then slightly trimmed its gains as traders sought profits after the token generation event )TGE( and the airdrop distribution of the protocol supported by YZi Labs.

) Metaplanet has established a subsidiary in the United States. 2025-09-19 00:13:37 Metaplanet has established a subsidiary in Miami aimed at expanding its Bitcoin revenue and derivatives business. The U.S. subsidiary will be called Metaplanet Income Corp.

Bitcoin maintains 115K support

On September 19, 2025, at 00:02:45, the trading price of Bitcoin exceeded $115K. Analysts warn that if the support fails, it could drop to $93K, while a breakthrough of resistance could lead it to rise to $137K.

Curve DAO reviews $60 million proposal

2025-09-19 00:13:37 Curve Decentralized Autonomous Organization ### DAO ( is currently reviewing a proposal that may unlock new revenue sources for the platform and its broader ecosystem.

) Aster TVL surges to 1 billion USD On September 19, 2025, at 00:30:07, the total locked value of Aster exceeded expectations, skyrocketing to over $1 billion within a few days after the token generation event ###TGE(. This milestone represents more than double the approximately $400 million from the pre-sale data.

) The Meme section and the SocialFi section are diverging. 2025-09-18 10:59:00 According to SoSoValue data, the Meme sector has risen by 5.09% in 24 hours, with MemeCore (M) surging by 18.49% and Pump.fun (PUMP) increasing by 7.13%. However, the SocialFi sector has declined for two consecutive days.

A certain whale extracted 15,200 ETH

2025-09-18 13:37:04 According to Lookonchain monitoring, a certain whale has extracted 15,200 ETH in the past 2 hours, worth 70.44 million USD.

The cryptocurrency market is generally rising.

2025-09-18 09:24:00 BTC, ETH, and SOL are performing strongly, with some altcoins rising sharply. The sentiment in the crypto market is relatively optimistic, possibly due to a 25 basis point rate cut in September as the Federal Reserve resumes its rate-cutting measures.

5. Global Policies

The following is a summary and analysis of new political dynamics, economic policies, or regulations related to the cryptocurrency industry based on news from September 12 to 19, 2025, as well as their impact on the industry and the market.

U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) Approves General Listing Standards for Cryptocurrency ETFs

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On September 18, 2025, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) approved the rule change requests from Nasdaq and the New York Stock Exchange, allowing "Commodity-Based Trust Shares" to be listed and traded under a standardized framework. This initiative established a General Listing Standard (GLS) for crypto spot ETFs, eliminating the need for a lengthy individual approval process.

Impact Analysis

1. Accelerate the listing process of cryptocurrency ETFs: The new standard will shorten the review time for cryptocurrency ETFs from up to 240 days to 75 days, significantly speeding up the listing process for cryptocurrency ETFs. Analysts expect that more than 100 cryptocurrency ETFs will be listed in the next 12 months.

2. Promote Institutional Investor Participation: The approval and listing of crypto ETFs will provide traditional investors with more channels to access crypto assets, potentially bringing more institutional funds into the crypto market.

3. Promoting the Mainstream Adoption of Cryptocurrency: This decision marks an important turning point in cryptocurrency regulation, accelerating the integration of digital assets with traditional financial systems and paving the way for the mainstream adoption of cryptocurrency.

The Bank of Japan Maintains Interest Rates

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On September 17, 2025, according to Nikkei News, the Bank of Japan is expected to maintain interest rates at its meeting this week. The impact of future U.S. tariff policies is expected to affect the Japanese economy, and the central bank will continue to monitor its impact on the overall economy.

Impact Analysis

1. Demand for cryptocurrency as a safe haven may increase: If U.S. tariff policies affect the Japanese economy, it may increase the demand for safe-haven assets like cryptocurrencies among Japanese investors.

2. Regulatory policies may become more lenient: To stimulate the economy, the Bank of Japan may adopt a loose monetary policy, which could encourage the Japanese government to take a more open attitude towards cryptocurrency regulation.

Summary

Policies and Regulations

• The US SEC has approved universal listing standards for cryptocurrency ETFs, which will accelerate the listing process of crypto ETFs, facilitate the entry of institutional investors, and promote the mainstream adoption of cryptocurrencies.
• The Bank of Japan maintains interest rates, which may increase Japanese investors' demand for cryptocurrencies as a hedge and may prompt the Japanese government to adopt a more lenient stance on cryptocurrency regulation.

6. Investment Analysis

6.1. Investment Recommendations

Market trends indicate that the cryptocurrency market is recovering. The Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts and regulatory approval of new cryptocurrency ETF products have improved investor sentiment. Here are 5 cryptocurrencies currently worth watching:

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Please note that these suggestions are based solely on current market analysis and do not constitute financial advice. Investing in cryptocurrencies carries risks, please invest cautiously.

) 6.2 Investment Strategy

Technical Analysis of Popular Tokens This Week

CIRCLE token, as a meme coin, is primarily influenced by social media popularity and market sentiment in its price fluctuations. Although its market capitalization temporarily lags behind Dogecoin and Shiba Inu, its social media attention and price volatility show strong growth potential. The PEDRO token saw a 300% increase in price within the first month of its launch, with a peak daily trading volume reaching $50 million, attracting widespread attention in the market. However, like other cryptocurrencies, the price of PEDRO token has also experienced significant volatility.

Trading Bot Strategy Analysis

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The grid trading strategy profits from high-frequency buying and selling during price fluctuations, suitable for moderately volatile markets. The moving average strategy trades based on moving average signals, which carries higher risks but also higher returns. The market maker strategy earns the bid-ask spread through order placement, suitable for less volatile markets. The copy trading strategy replicates the actions of other traders, with controllable risks. The arbitrage strategy profits from price differences between different exchanges, suitable for less volatile markets.

Summary

The price fluctuations of popular tokens this week are mainly influenced by irrational factors, and investors should approach with caution. Quantitative trading strategies can meet different investment needs based on various risk-return characteristics, which are worth paying attention to.

) 6.3. Financial Management Products

Yubi Bao Earn interest on your remaining funds, deposit and withdraw at any time, compound interest. Total funds ### USDT (: 1.11 billion Annualized yield of USDT in the last 7 days: 4.36% + 8.87%

What is Yubibao Gate's Yubi Treasure helps match users with idle assets to those in need of loans. After users subscribe to Yubi Treasure, the system will determine whether the loan is successful and the interest rate for that hour based on the user's set lending rate and actual borrowing demand at each hour. If the loan is successful, users can earn interest for that hour. However, users who fail to lend due to a set rate that is too high, and those who redeem their funds before the hourly determination, will not receive interest.

How is the interest income of Yubi Treasure calculated? Gate's Yubi Treasure supports user-defined interest rates. Users can set a minimum lending interest rate when subscribing, and the earnings will be calculated based on the determined interest rate after the lending is confirmed at the hour. If the funds are successfully lent at the hour T, users will receive interest for the period from T to T+1 at T+1. If funds are redeemed before the confirmation at T+1, no interest will be earned for that hour. The interest generated every hour will be automatically reinvested, and when redeeming, users can directly redeem both the principal and interest.

How to redeem after purchasing Yubi Treasure? Gate Yubi Treasure supports deposit and withdrawal at any time, with 24-hour support for purchasing and redeeming at any time, and redemptions can be credited immediately. Please note that when the borrowing ratio reaches 100%, after initiating the redemption operation, the platform will process in order, and during this period, interest earnings can continue to be enjoyed.

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Wealth Management Treasure The first profit starts here! Low threshold, high security, high yield.

What is Wealth Management Treasure? The Wealth Management Treasure is a one-stop comprehensive financial service center established by Gate, including current, fixed-term, and other financial plans, providing users with hundreds of types of digital currency financial products.

What are the investment periods for locked and non-locked financial products? Lock-up financial management requires a lock-up period, including fixed-term financial management, dual currency treasure, structured financial management, and cryptocurrency financial management. Non-locked financial management allows for flexible participation and supports withdrawal at any time, including active currency management and surplus fund management.

How to calculate and distribute interest/profit? Participating in different financial products may have varying yield rules. The earnings will be calculated based on the specified annual interest rate, and the distribution time varies by product.

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Structured Finance A new type of financial product that combines fixed income with options and other financial derivatives.

What is structured financial management? Gate structured finance is a new type of financial product based on a combination of fixed income and financial derivatives such as options. Generally, the settlement yield level is determined by comparing the price performance of the underlying asset during the investment period with a specified reference price, and it can be divided into two types: capital-protected and aggressive. Users can choose to purchase products with a specified investment period based on their required yield and base currency, and typically, the principal and interest are settled and redeemed at maturity, with no early redemption allowed (specifics depend on the product type).

What are the rules for interest calculation and redemption? Different financial products have varying interest calculation and redemption rules. Taking the Shark Fin product as an example, the final yield is calculated and distributed to the spot account at maturity. The annualized yield at the time of final settlement is determined based on the relationship between the observed price performance of the underlying asset during the entire investment period and the price range.

What are the risks of structured financial products? According to the different product rules, the annualized yield of interest will be determined by the comparison result between the observed price of the underlying asset and the specified pegged price. When the market is volatile, it is difficult to grasp the relationship between the two, leading to the possibility of settling at a lower interest rate. Additionally, there is also a certain risk of loss of principal.

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4. Market Interest Rate

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Annotation illustration:

• TradFi is the interest rate data of traditional finance.
• CeFi is the interest rate range of centralized finance.
• DeFi is the interest rate range of decentralized finance.

Disclaimer: The above data is for reference only and actual circumstances may vary. Please be sure to conduct a risk assessment before making any investments or trades. This platform does not assume any responsibility.

) 6.4. Technical Analysis: ETH Bollinger Band Trading Strategy Backtesting

The Bollinger Bands is a commonly used technical indicator that identifies potential overbought or oversold conditions through the standard deviation of prices. This backtest uses the following trading strategy:

• When the ETH price approaches or breaks through the upper band, take a selling action, with a position of 20%.
• When the ETH price approaches or breaks through the lower boundary, make a buying action, with a position of 20%.
• The initial principal is 100,000 USDT

Backtesting the historical data of ETH based on this trading strategy, the backtesting results are as follows:

Backtesting Time Range

• From January 1, 2023 to September 19, 2025

Backtesting Results

• Final yield: 36.72%
• Maximum Drawdown: 18.35%
• Annualized Volatility: 32.14%
• Total number of transactions: 68 times
• Profitable Trades: 41 times
• Number of losing trades: 27 times

Data Analysis

• This strategy achieved positive returns during the backtesting period, but with high volatility.
• Maximum drawdown reached 18.35%, risk is controllable
• The annualized volatility is 32.14%, which is considered a moderate volatility level.
• The number of profitable trades is slightly higher than the number of losing trades, indicating average strategy effectiveness.

Advantages

• Easy to operate, no complex indicators required
• Risks are controllable, with the maximum drawdown within an acceptable range.

Disadvantages

• The yield is generally average, making it difficult to achieve excess returns.
• High volatility, requiring strong psychological resilience.
• Signal lag, difficult to fully capture market turning points.

In summary, the ETH Bollinger Band trading strategy can be profitable during the backtesting period, but the return and effectiveness of the strategy are average. Investors need to have a certain level of risk tolerance and complement and improve their analysis with other methods.