According to The Block, a $120 million Polymarket market on whether the U.S. and Iran would agree to a permanent peace deal by June 15 has entered the platform's dispute resolution process on June 17. As of Wednesday morning, over 99% of voting power backed a "Yes" outcome, with votes cast by

According to Chainwire, Premu, a decentralized prediction market platform, launched user-created leveraged prediction markets for the 2026 FIFA World Cup on June 4. Participants can permissionlessly create yes-or-no markets on World Cup outcomes, set them live, and earn fees on trades. Positions can

According to Arkham, this morning, an Arca-linked wallet incurred a $100K loss on Polymarket. The wallet, which had received deposits from Arca's main wallet and bore its signature, spent $100K purchasing YES tokens at an average price of $0.005 per share in the "Will

According to Odaily Seer, the Polymarket contract predicting former U.S. President Donald Trump will attend the 2026 NBA Finals in person is now trading at 64% as of June 3, up 14% over the past week. The market resolves to "yes" if Trump is physically present at any stage of the Finals; if the Fina

According to CoinDesk, Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) disclosed on June 1 that it sold bitcoin between May 26 and May 31, triggering a dispute on Polymarket over whether the sale qualifies for a prediction market contract with a May 31 deadline. The May 31 contract, priced at 81% Yes and

According to PolyBeats, Polymarket's prediction market on whether Strategy will sell Bitcoin before May 31 saw dramatic reversal after Strategy disclosed selling 32 BTC last week. The probability of 'yes' surged to 85% from initial 'no' settlement expectations, currently settling at 51%, with

According to Odaily, Polymarket's prediction market contract for Hormuz Strait normalization by June 30 saw its probability fall to 25% this week, down 25 percentage points. The market has accumulated nearly $12 million in trading volume. The contract resolves "yes" if IMF Portwatch reports a

According to CoinDesk, Hyperliquid activated HIP-4 validator-governed outcome markets on 26 May 2026, a settlement model that bypasses external oracles like Polymarket's UMA protocol. HIP-4 allows traders to buy binary "Yes" or "No" positions on real-world events—CPI prints, FOMC decisions and

According to journalist Eleanor Terrett, Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer attended a meeting with Democratic senators yesterday, signaling support for a "yes" vote on the Clarity Act cryptocurrency regulation legislation. However, sources indicated that Schumer said more progress was needed in e

According to Catcher Predict, the "Yes" option for the "100-119" sub-market in the Elon Musk tweet count prediction event (May 5-12, 2026) on Polymarket surged from 44.2% one hour ago to 61%, a swing of 16.8 percentage