Interesting market observation: A well-known fund's analyst Mark Newton recently released an analysis of the stock market outlook for 2026. His core judgment is that the S&P 500 could surge to 7300 by the end of the year, but there will be some turbulence along the way.

What kind of turbulence? He believes that the current rebound can continue for another six to eight weeks, but then resistance will need to be faced. Starting from late February or early March, the entire stock market will enter a pressure phase, which could last until the end of May. He attributes this decline mainly to the potential recession in the technology sector.

Interestingly, there were some disagreements within the fund at the end of last year, but after the start of this year, the team basically reached a consensus — the market will definitely experience turbulence in 2026, but the overall outlook remains optimistic. This shift from disagreement to unity also reflects changes in the market situation. For those paying attention to macro factors, this judgment is worth noting.