The Federal Reserve's Barkin recently shared some interesting takes on the labor market dynamics. On one hand, he's welcoming the decline in unemployment rates—that's the positive signal everyone wants to see. But here's where it gets nuanced: the hiring pattern has become pretty narrow, which he openly calls uncomfortable.
What's more telling is what businesses aren't complaining about. Despite all the chatter about rate hikes, Barkin notes that the cost of interest rates isn't being flagged as a major headache for businesses. That's worth sitting with.
From a policy standpoint, there's a reasonable narrative forming—lower labor supply paired with slower job growth could actually represent a workable balance for the economy going forward. It's the kind of data point that shapes how central banks think about future rate decisions.
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ShibaOnTheRun
· 19h ago
A decrease in the unemployment rate is a good thing, but the hiring is so narrow? It seems the pressure has shifted elsewhere. Everyone, be careful.
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SingleForYears
· 01-09 22:52
Wait a minute, recruitment is narrowing but companies aren't complaining about interest rates? This logic doesn't quite hold up...
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fren_with_benefits
· 01-09 22:51
Basically, the unemployment rate is low, but hiring is very tight, and companies aren't really complaining about interest... The logic is a bit convoluted.
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ContractSurrender
· 01-09 22:47
Basically, a decrease in the unemployment rate sounds good, but the recruitment channels are ridiculously narrow... Companies don't even blame interest rates; this logic is a bit confusing.
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BearMarketBuilder
· 01-09 22:37
The unemployment rate has decreased, but recruitment is extremely competitive—that's the real issue...
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unrekt.eth
· 01-09 22:31
Well, this is outrageous. Are companies no longer complaining about interest rates? Then who's crying out in pain...
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ProposalManiac
· 01-09 22:25
Unemployment rate decreases, but hiring narrows? This is called "governance asymmetry"—good-looking data but mechanisms fail, and the Federal Reserve loves this approach.
The Federal Reserve's Barkin recently shared some interesting takes on the labor market dynamics. On one hand, he's welcoming the decline in unemployment rates—that's the positive signal everyone wants to see. But here's where it gets nuanced: the hiring pattern has become pretty narrow, which he openly calls uncomfortable.
What's more telling is what businesses aren't complaining about. Despite all the chatter about rate hikes, Barkin notes that the cost of interest rates isn't being flagged as a major headache for businesses. That's worth sitting with.
From a policy standpoint, there's a reasonable narrative forming—lower labor supply paired with slower job growth could actually represent a workable balance for the economy going forward. It's the kind of data point that shapes how central banks think about future rate decisions.