Prediction markets are increasingly aligning with traditional financial markets. The latest comparison shows that the Opinion platform's forecast index has reached 96.3%, while related contract data from the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) also indicates a 95% probability—both sides are now highly consistent in their overall judgment.

There's an interesting behind-the-scenes phenomenon: prediction markets are transforming from a "retail sentiment field" into mature financial instruments. In earlier years, prediction markets were often criticized as gambling due to their simple participant structure and lack of liquidity. But now? More and more professional institutions are entering, arbitrageurs are eliminating price distortions, and the pricing logic is being upgraded accordingly.

When the conclusions of prediction markets begin to synchronize with traditional financial markets, it indicates that this system has gained genuine reference value—it is no longer a niche tool but integrated into mainstream financial pricing systems. This is a significant signal for the overall maturity of the crypto market.