October 8, 2025
But I am also wondering, with such a big opportunity, can I make some changes to gain some profits? Let’s not talk about a million USDT, but if I can get a few tens of thousands USDT, that would mean I’m on board and participating in this feast. To be honest, I haven't sorted out the reasons behind it. Every small investment field has its threshold, and entering it requires paying tuition before you can learn from the experience. Perhaps the first step is really to participate and feel the community atmosphere of the meme coin. Of course, meme coins are not suitable for eve

Market Analysis on October 7, 2025
This is not the first malicious manipulation incident recently, there was also MYX before this.

October 6, 2025
As for why I choose to take profits, I would like to elaborate on my personal viewpoint here. I still treat this cycle as a 4-year cycle, especially in the next two months. If the cryptocurrencies I hold experience significant increases, I will gradually take profits or even liquidate my positions. My average buying price for BNB is dispersed; I started buying around $600, and I also bought in the 200-300 range during the consolidation period. I mentioned multiple times that BNB, as an income-generating asset, can be well allocated. At this price level now, the overall position

Market Analysis on October 5, 2025
The price of Bitcoin has directly reached an ATH of 125,000 USD, setting a new historical high. Although the market sentiment is quite subdued, I want to say that for Bitcoin, this price is not the endpoint; it is both the next price to be refreshed and a signal that the bull market has a new phase ahead. After the pullback, considering the timing, I am quite optimistic about the market in October. Now that Bitcoin has quietly hit a new high, it undoubtedly boosts confidence for the next phase of the market. As for the market being relatively calm, the core r

October 4, 2025 Market Analysis
Regardless of how you look at it, the market has revived once again, and the most obvious signal is that Bitcoin has broken through 120,000 USD and stabilized. The last time it was above 120,000 was back in August, almost two months ago. If Bitcoin rises a few more points and breaks through 125,000, it will continue to reach new all-time highs (ATH). For users in the crypto space, it seems that how much Bitcoin rises is not very related to them. Indeed, due to Wall Street's involvement, the main circulating supply of Bitcoin is now controlled by Americans, a

October 3, 2025
The market has surged again in the past two days, with Bitcoin reaching a maximum of 120,000 USD. The reason for this is mainly macroeconomic; the U.S. government has suddenly revealed a risk of a shutdown, and the enormous debt pressure makes the upcoming interest rate cuts feel somewhat urgent. The current financial system can only keep expanding the debt ceiling and increasing inflation, causing the value of fiat currency to continuously depreciate, while the corresponding anti-inflation asset, Bitcoin, will see its price rise in the long term.
The four-year cycle in the cry

Ran outside today, taking a day off.

October 1, 2020
Let's talk about the market. The price of Bitcoin seems to have stabilized, which is an important signal for the market. As for Ethereum, I personally have confidence that it will break through 5000 points soon, as it's only about 20 points away. A wave of major upward momentum will solve it. Of course, due to the bullish sentiment.

Market Analysis on September 30, 2025
Anyway, I think this market is acceptable, whether it’s the price of Bitcoin, Ethereum, or BNB and SOL, all of which have risen significantly in this bull market. In fact, despite all the new listings, there aren’t many that can accommodate large positions. The returns are certainly high and worth playing, but it requires significant capital and the right timing to buy mainstream assets at the bottom. Perhaps discussing this "timing" is still premature, but I want to say that one should prepare in advance for a bull market. What should we prepare? I have m

Market Analysis on September 29, 2025
The market continues to rebound slightly. Being able to pull back before the holiday is a very good signal for the market after the National Day holiday. Generally speaking, there is a need to reduce positions before a long holiday, mainly for some funds and professional traders, who will lower their positions to avoid unexpected situations. After all, it is impossible for everyone to work overtime, and responding to extreme situations and coordinating them can be quite troublesome. Reducing positions is the best choice. According to this logic, the declin

Today on the road, taking a day off~

Market Analysis on September 27, 2025
Today the market has rebounded somewhat, but overall it has not escaped the weak trend, considered as a small-scale oversold situation. Based on this market condition, it is expected that a period of low volatility and consolidation will begin, and there is a risk of further declines during the consolidation period, which we need to be psychologically prepared for. The recent market has not been favorable; apart from the lack of buying pressure, there hasn't been much new selling. From my perspective, the selling pressure from the whales has always bee

September 26, 2025 Market Analysis
Looking at the overall market, it's been a bit grim these past couple of days. I didn't expect Ethereum, which was previously the strongest, to perform so poorly. It actually dropped below $4000. It's worth noting that not only are there no US companies coming in to buy, but many are queuing up to exit. To be honest, as a long-term holder of spot assets, I'm a bit worried. However, the good news is that Bitcoin's price hasn't broken down yet. The entire market seems to be a bit dangerous, but maybe this is also what the market wants us

Market Analysis on September 25, 2025
The market has fallen again, which seems to confirm my worries from a few days ago. The market is in a relatively FOMO stage, and with the risk signal of over 10 billion RMB in liquidations in a single day appearing, the probability of further decline has increased. Although I personally did not reduce my positions, I just restrained myself from increasing my positions or buying new coins. This drop, although within expectations, is still a bit concerning, mainly because the price of Ethereum has directly hit 4000 USD, when the previous support was at 4200

September 24, 2025
As for why Ethereum's recent performance has been so poor, the core issue is the lack of capital attention. Previously, it was the purchase by MicroStrategy, a company in the U.S. stock market, that led to the price skyrocketing. After losing this core buyer, the buying power in the cryptocurrency market appears weak. In this situation,

September 23, 2025
It has been noted that in this wave of decline, the liquidation amount of contracts exceeded 1.7 billion USD, of which 1.62 billion were long positions. This not only indicates that long positions dominate the majority, reflecting the current market's FOMO sentiment, but there is also another point worth noting, which is the threshold of 10 billion RMB that I mentioned before. This is a rough value summarized from the liquidation amounts in previous bull markets. Although there is no rigorous data reference, exceeding this value is one of the risk signals of a bull marke

September 22, 2025
Today, let's mainly talk about Aster. Aster has made a lot of people wealthy, as the FDV peaked at over 15 billion, and even with a few points of airdrop calculation, it directly injected several hundred million dollars worth of chips into the market. Of course, many people sold at its peak, with the price soaring close to 20 times from the opening, greatly exceeding market expectations. As for why many people sold, those who have used Aster's products know: it's not worth that price. But the market's valuation system has been reshaped, and the price has soar

In a big dump market, what is key to look at? If you want to know the direction of the market, you should still monitor whether BTC breaks key levels. As for Ethereum, the recent pump has been relatively weak, and a pullback is naturally unavoidable. Currently, neither BTC nor Ether has broken key levels; in my opinion, this still belongs to a killing of longs in an overheated market. The systemic risk is not large, but don't rush to buy in the short-term to prevent a second drop. Continue holding Spot, and those who have reduced positions at high levels may consider swing trading. Do not

On September 21, I am looking at the Perp track today, and managing the Arbitrage Position takes a lot of time, so I'm taking a day off. If you have any questions about Perp, feel free to leave a message, and I'll reply to everyone later.