Dogecoin Price Prediction: Federal Reserve rate cut fails to boost risk assets, DOGE consolidates near the key support level of $0.138

The Federal Reserve’s further rate cut did not trigger a significant rebound in risk assets, and the overall crypto market remains cautious. Dogecoin (DOGE) continues to consolidate above key support levels. On Wednesday, the Fed announced a 25 basis point rate cut to the 3.5%-3.75% range, marking the third rate cut this year. However, disagreements within the Fed regarding the future easing path have intensified, making it difficult for market risk appetite to be fully unleashed.

Against the backdrop of complex macro sentiment, on-chain activity for Dogecoin remains active. Large whale wallets have increased holdings by approximately 480 million DOGE in recent days. While the launch of spot ETFs for Dogecoin by Grayscale and Bitwise has attracted market attention, it has not yet led to sustained directional movement.

Currently, DOGE trades around $0.1405, up 0.69% over 24 hours, maintaining a consolidation range between $0.13 and $0.15. Price fluctuations today ranged from $0.1382 to $0.1408, with a trading volume of 651.7 million tokens, about 7% higher than the seven-day average, indicating more positioning activity rather than strong buy-driven demand.

Technical indicators show that Dogecoin remains in a short-term contraction pattern. The support level at $0.1380 has been tested multiple times and is critical for the current consolidation zone. Momentum indicators are neutral, reflecting DOGE’s sideways oscillation stage without a clear direction. The chart resembles a pennant or volatility convergence pattern, suggesting potential breakout movements in the future rather than a slow trend extension.

Resistance is concentrated between $0.1425 and $0.1450, with multiple failed breakouts indicating insufficient buying momentum. If DOGE can effectively break above this range, it may target $0.16 to $0.18. Conversely, a drop below $0.1380 could lead to a retest of the lower end of the $0.13 range.

Due to ongoing uncertainties about the Federal Reserve’s policy outlook, the market remains cautious overall. Macro factors exert more influence on Dogecoin than the token’s own catalysts. In the current environment, DOGE remains a typical consolidation asset. Traders should watch for key level breakouts to gauge future direction. (CoinDesk)