Corn futures stumbled into the weekend, with front-month contracts closing slightly lower across the board. December corn—which expired options today—dropped 4.75 cents for the week, while the national cash price sat at $3.87, down a penny.
Production Side: USDA’s Grain Crushing report revealed 463.44M bushels of corn went into ethanol production in August. That’s technically up 1.2% from July, but here’s the catch—it’s down 3.36% year-over-year. Fewer bushels making it into biofuel = potential headwind for demand.
Positioning Shift: Managed money traders flipped more bearish. Latest CFTC data shows they’re holding a net short of 141,966 contracts, adding 6,656 shorts in just one week. When big money starts shorting, it’s worth watching.
South America Update: Buenos Aires pegs Argentina’s corn planting at 37.3%—up only 0.7 points weekly and already behind last year’s pace. The silver lining? 79% of what’s planted rates excellent to normal, so quality is solid for now.
Price Action:
Dec 25 Corn: $4.25½ (-1¢)
Mar 26 Corn: $4.37½ (-0.25¢)
May 26 Corn: $4.44¾ (-0.5¢)
Bottomline: Weak export demand + rising spec shorts = this rally looks fragile. Watch if prices break below support next week.
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
Corn Wraps Week in Red as Demand Shifts
Corn futures stumbled into the weekend, with front-month contracts closing slightly lower across the board. December corn—which expired options today—dropped 4.75 cents for the week, while the national cash price sat at $3.87, down a penny.
Production Side: USDA’s Grain Crushing report revealed 463.44M bushels of corn went into ethanol production in August. That’s technically up 1.2% from July, but here’s the catch—it’s down 3.36% year-over-year. Fewer bushels making it into biofuel = potential headwind for demand.
Positioning Shift: Managed money traders flipped more bearish. Latest CFTC data shows they’re holding a net short of 141,966 contracts, adding 6,656 shorts in just one week. When big money starts shorting, it’s worth watching.
South America Update: Buenos Aires pegs Argentina’s corn planting at 37.3%—up only 0.7 points weekly and already behind last year’s pace. The silver lining? 79% of what’s planted rates excellent to normal, so quality is solid for now.
Price Action:
Bottomline: Weak export demand + rising spec shorts = this rally looks fragile. Watch if prices break below support next week.