Behind Contract Launch: Is Meme Coin Research Really Just a Game of Luck?

A certain Chinese Ticker launched contracts today, and this has significantly boosted market sentiment. Those who research memes can finally stand tall—see, it’s not just pure luck.

Is Research Actually Useful?

Many people think meme coins are just a game of musical chairs. It’s true, you can’t build models for them using PE ratios or cash flow like in US stocks. But to say it’s all luck? That’s an outsider’s perspective.

People who genuinely put in the research absolutely have a much higher win rate than those who guess blindly.

You have to keep an eye on what retail investors are talking about, understand the love-hate relationships between major platforms, and know why a particular meme resonates. These information and cognitive gaps are the sources of alpha. As long as the data shows that research leads to higher win rates, this approach stands.

From 500 Million to 100 Million, and to Today

I’ve been following this project for a long time. It once dropped from a 500 million market cap to 100 million, and a lot of people cut their losses and left during that downturn. But the platform didn’t compromise just because of “complaints when the price falls”—the market never responds to moral blackmail.

Instead, those diamond hands who endured the volatility are reaping the rewards today. The meme hype on BNB Chain is still going strong, and patient holders have been proven right.

The contract launch is a milestone, but it doesn’t mean “overnight success.” No one’s growth curve is a straight line up; short-term price swings driven by sentiment are normal. Some say “the platform won’t let it drop,” but that logic doesn’t hold—why didn’t they step in during the previous crash?

My Strategy: Not Shorting, But Not Blindly Chasing Highs Either

The symbolic significance of being the first Chinese Ticker is clear, and this wave of sentiment is hard to underestimate. Trying to time the top is too risky, and I won’t bet on a short-term peak.

But will it immediately skyrocket? Not necessarily. The market needs to digest, and tokens need to change hands—this is all normal.

My choice is to hold a portion for the long term. I believe in its underlying narrative, and I trust that the diamond hands who stick around will have the last laugh. As for whether I can hold on? I’m fairly confident.

Short-term volatility is just market behavior; long-term success depends on conviction and understanding. That’s perhaps the meaning of research—it’s not about being right every time, but about having the odds on your side most of the time.