#美联储降息 Silver rebound logic analysis

The support for this silver market rally is very clear—continuing expectations of global central bank easing, combined with geopolitical risk aversion, plus the gradual recovery in industrial demand, provide solid fundamental support for silver. Although there is a sharp domestic and international price difference, the main trend in the international market remains unchanged, and funds are still holding onto long positions.

From a technical perspective, the 1-hour chart's rebound pattern from the low of 60.075 remains intact. After reaching 64.303, the price entered a consolidation range of 63.00-64.00. This adjustment is simply profit-taking after the previous surge and reallocation of positions, with no clear reversal signals observed. Regarding indicators, there is buying support from major funds at lower levels, Bollinger Bands are opening upward, and the price is running along the 62.207 middle band. The moving averages are still in a bullish configuration. Although the MACD histogram shows some weakening, the death cross has not appeared yet, indicating that the bearish momentum is only a phase of consolidation and the rebound energy has not been fully exhausted.

Trading idea: Try long positions lightly in the 62.8-63.5 area
Stop-loss: 62.5
Target prices: 63.8, 64.3