#分享我的交易

The most impressive trade I recently experienced took place on December 12th. It was a short-term operation on a BTC/USDT perpetual contract. Unlike the common "breakout chasing" logic, this time I employed a "reverse short" strategy based on overheated sentiment and key technical resistance levels. I exited with a small profit, but the process prompted me to reflect on strategy and mindset far more than the profit itself.

1. Trading Background and Entry Logic

At that time, after a period of consolidation, BTC rapidly surged intraday to a significant resistance level (for simplicity, referred to as "Resistance R" here). Market sentiment suddenly heated up, with voices in forums and communities saying "breakthrough imminent" and "ready to take off."

My reverse logic was based on three points:

1. Technical Analysis: The price tested Resistance R for the third time, and the 1-hour RSI showed signs of bearish divergence, indicating upward momentum might weaken. This level had accumulated a large amount of previous trapped positions and short-term profit-taking orders.
2. Market Behavior: Observing the volume during the rally, it did not continue to expand, showing slight divergence between price and volume, suspected that some "smart money" was using market frenzy to distribute holdings.
3. Sentiment: When most retail traders talk about a breakout and prepare to chase longs, short-term risks are often building up. I decided to go against this short-term sentiment flow and attempt a high-probability small position.

Specific operation: When the price first touched Resistance R and a 1-hour candle closed with an upper shadow, I entered a market order, opening a light short position with 1% margin, and set a strict stop-loss just above R at a reasonable distance (to prevent false breakouts from wiping out).

2. Intraday Management and Exit Review

After opening the position, the price did not immediately fall back but oscillated near R, with the highest approaching my stop-loss level. This was the most testing moment for my mindset. I reviewed my trading plan:

- Has the logic changed? — Volume remained tepid, divergence persisted, and the logic remained valid.
- Is the stop-loss placement reasonable? — Yes, hitting it would mean my judgment was wrong, and I must accept the loss.

Therefore, I chose to ignore the floating profit/loss and stick to the original plan. After about four hours of oscillation, the buying momentum clearly weakened, and the price started a series of 15-minute bearish candles. When the price fell to a short-term support level and the 1-hour RSI returned to a neutral zone, I decided to take profit proactively and closed the position.

Result: This trade ultimately yielded about 2.3% return (based on margin). Considering the risk-reward ratio, the preset potential loss was about 1.5%, and the realized profit was around 3.5%, with a risk-reward ratio exceeding 1:2—an effective tactical execution.

3. Lessons Learned and Insights

1. Logic over Volatility: The core of trading is based on a clear, articulable logic (technical, fundamental, or emotional). As long as the logic remains unrefuted, one should give the position some "breathing room" to avoid being shaken out by market noise. Being able to hold onto the position was thanks to prior logical preparation.
2. Position Management as Mindset Anchor: Because it was a mere 1% "probing" position, I could stay calm and observe when approaching stop-loss. If I had a heavy position, fear and anxiety might cause me to prematurely exit. Always use a position size you can fully afford to lose to validate your judgment.
3. "Reverse" Trading Requires Discipline: Trading against short-term market sentiment is essentially "taking a flying knife." It demands high discipline for entry timing and stop-loss placement. It should not be routine, only a high-confidence attempt under specific scenarios (e.g., clear resistance/support, extreme sentiment).
4. Thinking About Taking Profits Proactively: Choosing to close at a short-term support level rather than holding for larger gains is based on my logic that "resistance levels will pull back," not "trend reversal." Once the logic is fulfilled, exiting promptly is disciplined. Don't chase after the middle or the tail—know when to take profits.