1. During a bear market, big funds slowly buy cheap assets; when the bull market arrives, retail investors chase high and enter the market.
2. Retail investors can't afford to lose, but big players are not afraid of losing.
3. Retail investors know pain, but don't know fear. They'd rather lose money than admit the market is dangerous and be cautious.
4. Good news doesn't necessarily lead to a rise, but bad news often causes a decline.
5. Bull markets (rising) generally last much longer than bear markets (falling).
6. Retail investors become timid after making money, but tend to get emotional a

#分享我的交易
The most impressive trade I recently experienced took place on December 12th. It was a short-term operation on a BTC/USDT perpetual contract. Unlike the common "breakout chasing" logic, this time I employed a "reverse short" strategy based on overheated sentiment and key technical resistance levels. I exited with a small profit, but the process prompted me to reflect on strategy and mindset far more than the profit itself.
1. Trading Background and Entry Logic
At that time, after a period of consolidation, BTC rapidly surged intraday to a significant resistance level (for simplicity,

12.16 Morning Analysis: BTC and ETH Experience Short-term Volatility, Bears Take the Lead
The recent market has entered a clear correction cycle. BTC has fallen from the high of 88,985 down to 86,000, while ETH quickly dropped from 3,177 to around 2,970, with significant declines in both. From the candlestick patterns, the entire correction is just beginning to gather momentum.
Market details are crucial—BTC's four-hour chart has already broken below the lower Bollinger Band, with the channel continuously expanding, indicating a strong bearish signal. The daily chart remains in a downward chan

#加密市场反弹
Currently, we are in the early stage of a bull market. So, what is a bull market? Simply put, a bull market refers to a period of sustained market growth, like a bull pushing prices higher with its horns. However, even during a bull market, prices do not only go up; they also experience declines. Throughout the upward cycle, there are two to three significant corrections, similar to taking a few steps back while climbing, recharging before charging forward again.
In this process, there are three points to understand:
1. Attracting new investors: Market declines reflect that the previo

#加密市场反弹
The current bull market for altcoins has just begun. The bull market is like rain falling from the sky, pouring money down, but from the current perspective, it's still far from over. The majority of altcoins are actually just starting to move.
As Bitcoin reaches a certain level, funds will gradually rotate into various sectors. We must plan ahead, secure our positions, and wait for the explosion. The so-called explosion isn't just a hundred percent increase in one day; when the altcoin bull run starts, it will definitely be a sustained increase.

#加密市场反弹
The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points early this morning, but BTC did not break out on the news. Instead, it experienced a "buy the rumor, sell the fact" rebound followed by a pullback. The core issue lies in the hawkish guidance on the future rate cut path—market expectations suggest the next easing window may be delayed until mid-next year. Short-term liquidity benefits have been overextended in advance, and the news is unlikely to provide sustained upward momentum.
From a technical perspective, the previous ascending triangle pattern has not been broken, but the

The Federal Reserve's third rate cut in this cycle has ended
Cut by 25 basis points from 4% to 3.75%
But just like last time, it's very quiet...
A rebound triggers a small rally, then continues to decline and adjust...
The market generally expects two rate cuts next year, in March and June
Until the end of the first quarter of next year, are there any fundamental big events that can attract enough strong retail buying?
I really haven't seen any...
Maybe wait until the second quarter of next year when Chair Powell steps down?
But after the game among the bulls, will there be an executor willing

#加密市场反弹
Crypto Market Rebound: Is it a Trend Reversal, or the Beginning of a New Narrative Rotation? #CryptoMarketRebound
This morning, waking up to a euphoric market. BTC sharply breaks through $94,500, ETH nears the $3,400 level, with the total market capitalization increasing by over 2.7% in a single day. Market sentiment is like a spark ignited, quickly recovering from silence. However, in the face of this sudden rebound, we need to stay calm and think: Is this the prelude to a new bull market, or a technical rebound within a structural adjustment?
🔍 The Driving Forces Behind the Rebound

#发帖赢代币NIGHT
Why I believe NIGHT is a worthwhile opportunity: an investment research and experience sharing
Recently, I've seen more and more content related to NIGHT on Gate Square. I also took the time to study this project. Based on my observations, I would like to briefly share my views and participation experience.
🔍 Project Positioning and Technical Highlights
NIGHT (assumed pseudonym) is a Layer 1 project focused on privacy and cross-chain interoperability. Its biggest feature is combining zero-knowledge proofs (ZKP) with a modular architecture, ensuring transaction privacy while enabl

#美联储降息预测
High Probability of Rate Cut Already Priced In, Beware of “Buy the Rumor, Sell the News” 📉
The market has already priced in about a 25BP rate cut (CME data ~84%). Therefore, if the cut happens as expected, short-term sentiment may quickly be exhausted, leading to profit-taking and a possible pullback after a brief rally. Whether a true rebound can be sustained depends on Powell’s guidance regarding the future path—if dovish signals are released (such as hinting at further cuts in the first half of next year), risk assets could see medium-term support; if the tone is cautious, the ma

#Gate广场圣诞送温暖
Does the 4-year cycle still exist? I discussed a few points with friends today and welcome any corrections:
1. According to some BTC whales, based on past experience, a portion of long-term BTC holders engage in buying low and selling high during bull and bear cycles, with the amount of BTC exchanged accounting for about 30% of the total BTC supply.
2. Currently, the holdings of Wall Street institutions, namely DAT and ETFs, account for about 12%. Since the new all-time high, growth has slowed and there have even been slight signs of outflows.
3. Based on points 1 and 2, the exis

#Gate广场圣诞送温暖
The following spot bottom-fishing points are valid for the long term from the end of the year to 2026 (this does not constitute a synchronous long-term short take-profit recommendation, as the logic is different):
SUI bottom-fishing: 1.05 (initial position), 0.75, 0.48
DOGE bottom-fishing: 0.0855 (initial position), 0.0738, 0.0565
BNB bottom-fishing: 738/712 (initial position), 666/642, 518/496, 398
ETH bottom-fishing: 2512 (initial position), 2112, 1666/1388
BTC bottom-fishing: 74666 (initial position), 69050/64250, 52400/48888
SOL bottom-fishing: 126.25/123.85 (initial position

#ETH December Market Forecast
Forecast range: $3,250–$3,450
In December, macro sentiment has clearly warmed up. Expectations for rate cuts are rising, coupled with ETH’s own ecosystem tailwinds (such as increased L2 activity and staking growth), and there are signs of capital returning. In the short term, if the $3,200 support holds, it is likely to test the $3,400–$3,500 range. Pay attention to the market’s real-time reaction to news around the 11th, as volatility may increase, but the overall trend leans toward a volatile upward movement 📈
Let’s look forward to seeing this forecast play out

#Gate广场圣诞送温暖
The bull market peak from a few months ago
All kinds of FOMO talk
Like “200k this cycle,” “perpetual bull market”
And now all kinds of FUD talk
Such as
“Various bankruptcies,” “multi-year bear market,” “BTC’s logic disproven”
Most of these things probably won’t happen
It’s just the release of market emotions
Next cycle should reach 200k, with a larger total market cap and more use cases ​​​

#Gate广场圣诞送温暖
The rules learned after experiencing two cycles...
1. Always maintain more than 50% cash reserves;
In the last bull market, I only kept 10% in cash, and later even used that to try to catch the bottom, ending up fully trapped...
If there are new gains in the account, rebalance this ratio again. If asset prices drop and the cash proportion exceeds 70%, take out some cash to invest regularly in assets I believe will definitely survive until the next bull market.
2. Be more patient than others and build up your mental resilience;
Those who sell at the top at the beginning of a bull

#Gate广场圣诞送温暖 Brothers, keep an eye on the market data of SOL, a phased bottom is forming, there should be no fear at present, although short-term short positions still dominate, the market data still needs time to grind, but key signals have already appeared.
The force of this decline has clearly weakened, with multiple instances of resistance preventing further drops. This is a typical "bottoming sign". Personally, I believe that the overall direction this month will follow the script of "pullback - accumulation - rebound."
Market Outlook Suggestion:
1. Cautious short: Even if the market dat