# 我的2026第一条帖

Market cycles always repeat, and missed opportunities are not everyone’s fault — this is the reality of the crypto market.
Many miss out on a rally due to hesitation, and some watch opportunities slip away. But if you observe carefully, you'll discover that these opportunities are never rare. The key is to build a reliable trading system — recognize trends, control risks, and wait for high-probability entry points.
From the long-term cycle of $BTC, the evolution of the $ETH environment, to the expansion of $BNB applications, each cryptocurrency is preparing for new opportunities. Instead of re

Crypto Daily Report 01.07: Institutional Capital Flows Resume, Retail Scenario Adoption and Technical Bottom Signals Emerge
1. Continuous Institutional Capital Inflows and Long-term Market Outlook
Significant capital inflows into Bitcoin and mainstream crypto ETFs have recently occurred, driven by renewed institutional demand and improved market risk appetite. Meanwhile, Wall Street's influence on the crypto market has intensified, potentially altering the previous "parabolic" rally. Bitcoin ETFs attracted nearly $700 million in a single day, with Ethereum, XRP, Solana, and other ETFs rising i

The BTC weekly chart is still in a consolidation range and has not been able to break through. Therefore, there are opportunities for both short-term highs and long-term lows in the upcoming market, and there is even a chance to reach 84,000. The key support levels in between are: 90,400-90,000-89,300 and 88,100.
Buy in batches at 90,400-90,000-89,300 with stop loss at 89,000 and take profit at 91,200-92,000.
Short at 92,000 with a small stop loss at 92,300, and take profit at 90,400.
Short at 93,060-93,700 with a stop loss at 93,900.
Once it breaks below 89,300, short on rebound; short until

#我的2026第一条帖 Hot Whale Overview: BTC OG Insider Whale Unrealized Profit of $27 million, Strategy Opponent Adds to ETH Short Positions Close to $18 million. Due to Market Recovery, the BTC OG Insider Whale's Unrealized Profit Expanded to $27 million, and the Strategy Opponent Increased ETH Short Positions, with a total position size of $79.5 million. Most whales have held their positions steady or made minor adjustments. Specific information is as follows:
BTC OG Insider Whale: Total unrealized profit increased to $27.06 million. Its main holdings are ETH long positions with an unrealized profit

January 8th, Thursday Bitcoin Morning Analysis and Commentary
Recently, Bitcoin's upward trend has clearly slowed compared to previous gains. The current price is testing downward, with a 24-hour decline already significant. This indicates that in the short term, market sentiment has shifted from bullish to bearish. However, it is important to note that around 90600 below is the lower band of the Bollinger Bands, which provides strong support. Therefore, it is recommended to adopt a light short position approach and avoid heavy trading.
From the technical structure on the 4-hour chart, after t

#我的2026第一条帖 The current rebound is gradually gaining momentum, and the bullish pattern is steadily warming up. On the four-hour chart, the market bottom has formed a slight double bottom pattern, with the lower shadow gradually becoming more prominent, indicating that the bullish rebound momentum is clearly improving. On the hourly chart, the previous bottom formation is gradually completing, with the candlesticks moving upward, showing a slight series of positive candles, and the bulls are gradually gaining strength. Additionally, the MACD technical indicator is about to cross again, with a

#我的2026第一条帖 Crypto Daily(01.08): Bitcoin Price Faces Pressure, Market Liquidations Surge, Mining Companies Shift to Monetization and AI Deployment
1. Bitcoin Price Trends and Technical Analysis
Bitcoin price has retreated to around $91,000 after fluctuations. The daily chart shows a pullback from a high near $94,792, with exhaustion signals appearing. In the short term, it faces support at $91,500-$91,800. A break below could test $90,000 or even $88,000. The 4-hour chart shows lower highs and lower lows, with trading volume rising under selling pressure. Rebound attempts are weak amid short-t

BTC Upward Momentum Analysis: Trend Continuation Amid Multiple Positive Factors
This round of Bitcoin's rise is not driven by a single factor such as the Venezuela geopolitical event, but rather a structural market trend resulting from multiple positive catalysts. The core driving force comes from the continuous large-scale influx of institutional funds—after the approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs, several Wall Street giants have successively incorporated them into their asset allocation portfolios, pushing daily ETF net inflows beyond $500 million and creating strong capital support. Meanwhile, th

Bringing "Long-term" Back to the Center of Web3 in 2026
In early 2026, my expectation is that long-termism will once again become a consensus in the Web3 industry, rather than just empty slogans. Over the past few years, many projects and users have been driven by short-term interests, with price becoming the sole metric, which has eroded trust and exhausted patience. Moving into 2026, I hope to see an industry that develops slowly but more steadily.
For individuals, my plans have also adjusted. I no longer insist on frequently changing tracks but choose to deepen my focus on well-defined dire