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Outlook for Bitcoin in 2026, Charles Schwab believes that the tug-of-war between overall economic trends and internal forces within the cryptocurrency market will continue. Despite significant improvements in liquidity conditions and the positive performance of risk assets, the psychological pressure brought by the "halving cycle" remains hard to ignore and may limit Bitcoin's upside potential this year.
Jim Ferraioli, Director of Cryptocurrency Asset Research and Strategy at Schwab Center for Financial Research, stated that Bitcoin's price movement this year is actually influenced by "3 Major Long-Term Forces" and "7 Major Short-Term Factors."
Jim Ferraioli believes that in the long run, "global

Arthur Hayes
Translated by: Yuliya, PANews
You can imagine a video call between U.S. President Donald Trump and Venezuelan President Pepe Maduro, at the time Maduro was flying from Caracas to New York.
Trump: "Pepe Maduro, you are such a bad guy. Your country's oil now belongs to me. Long live America!"
Pepe Maduro: "Trump, you crazy person!"
*Note: Arthur Hayes refers to the Venezuelan president as "Pepe Maduro" instead of his real name Nicolás Maduro. "Pepe" is a common nickname for "José" in Spanish. Although Maduro's real name is Nicolás.*

Fundstrat co-founder and well-known Wall Street analyst Tom Lee leads the cryptocurrency reserve company Bitmine Immersion (NYSE: BMNR), which continues to expand its Ethereum holdings. Over the past week, it purchased 32,977 ETH, bringing the company's total assets to $14.2 billion.
As of January 4, Bitmine has accumulated 4,143,502 ETH, valued at $13 billion, currently controlling 3.43% of the total global ETH supply. This is more than two-thirds of the progress toward Tom Lee's "5% Alchemy" target—holding approximately 60.4 million ETH.
Bitmine is not just accumulating coins but is also actively participating in network governance. Currently, 659,000 ETH have been staked.

The cryptocurrency market in 2026 is off to a strong start, with Bitcoin spot ETFs attracting $697 million, reaching the highest record in nearly a year, indicating that institutional investors are returning to the market. In two days, inflows exceeded $1.16 billion, and risk appetite has rebounded. Ethereum spot ETFs also performed well, attracting $168 million. Market sentiment has improved, but retail investors remain cautious.

Madman says…
The market, whether in terms of sentiment or trading volume, has already reached an extremely quiet state. Mainstream coins like Bitcoin are stuck in a narrow range, sideways trading within a very small zone. This indicates that a trend reversal will occur soon (perhaps in early January). Based on the current trend, the probability of a downward spike is higher than a direct rise or fall. The strategy is to continue holding and wait for a new low to buy the dip.
The significant rise in precious metals already indicates that inflation is on the way, so by 2026, the water will come. The rest is up to time. Bitcoin will continue to prove its irreplaceable value and incomparable consensus advantage.

The US Bitcoin Spot ETF saw a massive capital inflow yesterday. According to sosovalue data, the net inflow for the day reached as high as $355 million, ending a seven-day streak of net outflows and boosting market sentiment.
After experiencing a challenging period characterized by continuous capital withdrawals, the US Bitcoin Spot ETF has seen a significant turnaround, with investors re-entering the market with substantial funds. This positive momentum has eased market participants' nerves, who had endured several days of capital redemptions throughout the holiday period, which had put pressure on investor sentiment.
The $355 million net inflow represents a major reversal in recent institutional capital rotation trends. This rebound occurred after ETF capital outflows had accumulated to over $1.1 billion over six consecutive trading days, reflecting year-end portfolio rebalancing and reduced holiday liquidity. Market analysts attribute the recent capital outflows primarily to

To ride the AI wave, Bitcoin mining leader Riot Platforms (NYSE: RIOT) has not hesitated to "sell coins for cash." At the end of last year, it sold a total of 2,201 Bitcoins, earning approximately $200 million.
According to Riot Platforms' disclosures, the company sold 383 and 1,818 Bitcoins in November and December of last year, respectively, reducing its holdings to 18,005 Bitcoins.
Miner companies sell Bitcoin for various reasons, including covering operational costs, adjusting asset allocation, or responding to market fluctuations. However, Matthew Sigel, Head of Digital Asset Research at VanEck, pointed out that Riot's recent coin sales may be closely related to its AI data center deployment.
Matthew Sigel analyzed that Riot's end-of-year Bitcoin sales income...

Cryptocurrency market performance remains steady at the start of 2026, with Bitcoin and Ethereum posting weekly gains of 4.7% and 10%, respectively. Meanwhile, Dogecoin (DOGE), which serves as a market sentiment indicator, surged over 20% in a single breath. Strong buying momentum indicates that investors' risk appetite has fully returned.
However, is this rally a fleeting moment or the beginning of a comeback? Digital asset management firm Bitwise released a report on Tuesday stating that whether the market can regain glory or even hit new all-time highs this year depends on passing the "3 major tests."
Bitwise Chief Investment Officer Matt Hougan analyzed in the report that although the start has been promising, the cryptocurrency market still needs to meet three core conditions to sustain this trend. The good news is that the first hurdle appears to have been successfully cleared.
First hurdle: Will the market once again experience "

According to documents filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), Wall Street investment bank Morgan Stanley officially submitted registration statements on Tuesday to launch Bitcoin and Solana (SOL) spot ETFs, becoming the first major bank in the U.S. to heavily deploy cryptocurrency asset ETFs.
The documents show that Morgan Stanley submitted two S-1 registration statements: "Morgan Stanley Bitcoin Trust" and "Morgan Stanley Solana Trust." Among them, the Solana ETF incorporates a staking mechanism, meaning that in the future, the fund will not only track the coin price but also provide investors with additional income opportunities.
Morgan Stanley currently manages approximately $6.4 trillion in assets. If the ETF

The index compilation company MSCI (Morgan Stanley Capital International) announced that it will temporarily not remove "Digital Asset Treasuries (DATs)" from its index products. Once the news was disclosed, the stock price of Strategy (MSTR), the publicly traded company holding the most Bitcoin globally, immediately rose.
Encouraged by the positive news, as a constituent of the MSCI index, Strategy's stock price surged over 6% to $168.4 in after-hours trading on Tuesday, strongly recovering from the approximately 4% decline during the day. Market sentiment instantly shifted from tense to optimistic.
Looking back to October last year, MSCI

Blockchain payment company Ripple President Monica Long stated that the company currently has no IPO plans and emphasized that Ripple's financial situation is stable. Rather than going public, the company prefers to expand through acquisitions and product development.
During an interview with Bloomberg on Tuesday, Monica Long mentioned: "At this stage, we still plan to remain private. Typically, companies pursue an IPO to gain investor support or liquidity in the public market, but our current financial health is very strong. We are fully capable of continuing to fund and invest in the company's growth without going public."
Ripple only completed a $5 billion private placement financing in November last year, with investors including Fortress Investment.

Although the cryptocurrency market experienced a significant correction by the end of 2025, investment research firm Fundstrat co-founder and known as the "Wall Street Oracle" Tom Lee remains highly confident and optimistic about this year's market performance. He believes that Bitcoin's upward momentum has not yet peaked, and it could potentially reach new highs as early as January this year.
Looking back at Tom Lee's past predictions, they can be described as bold and aggressive. In August of last year, he confidently stated that Bitcoin would break the $200,000 mark before the end of 2025. However, reality is always challenging. Although Bitcoin briefly reached a historic high of approximately $126,000 in October last year, the rally lacked follow-through, and by the end of 2025, it retreated to around $88,500.
In response to his inaccurate forecast, Lee appeared on CNBC's program "Squawk Box" on Monday to

BTC broke above $94,000 two days ago, but experienced a significant pullback yesterday. However, it was also mentioned yesterday that if BTC falls below $91,000 again, it will enter a bear market. Fortunately, the daily chart price is still holding above $92,000. If there is a clear rebound in the next few days, there is a chance to follow the US stock market upward. To confirm a return to an upward trend, the price needs to effectively break through $97,000. Currently, the selling pressure at $94,000 is quite strong, so it is expected to be difficult to reach in the short term. Therefore, holding above $91,000 is more important at the moment.
Let's also look at on-chain data. Even if the price returns above $92,000, the current on-chain demand still remains insufficient. A larger rebound is needed to support a breakthrough of $97,000. In a market with uncertain sentiment and low trading volume, on-chain activity has not shown obvious improvement recently. However, as the holiday ends, many investors who had reduced their trading are gradually

Author: Frank, PANews
Recently, the popularity of prediction markets has continued to rise, especially with smart money’s arbitrage strategies being regarded as the gold standard. Many have started to imitate and experiment, as if a new gold rush is beginning.
But behind the hype, how effective are these seemingly clever and reasonable strategies? How exactly are they executed? PANews conducted an in-depth analysis of 27,000 trades made by the top ten profit-generating whales on Polymarket in December, exploring the true nature of their profits.
After analysis, PANews found that although many of these "smart money" operations involved implementing hedging arbitrage strategies, there is a significant difference between this hedging and the simple hedging described on social media. The actual strategies are much more complex, involving more than just straightforward "yes" or "no" combinations, but rather making full use of rules like "over/under" and "win/lose" in sports betting.

Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin stated that the long-standing "Blockchain Trilemma" that has troubled the blockchain industry has actually been solved. He emphasized that after recent upgrades, Ethereum has undergone a transformation, becoming a "brand new, more powerful decentralized network" capable of balancing security, decentralization, and scalability simultaneously.
Vitalik Buterin posted on social platform X: "Now, we have PeerDAS, which will be introduced in 2025, and partial adoption in 2026."

Edited｜Odaily Planet Daily (@OdailyChina); Translator｜Moni
After experiencing what can be called a "tormenting" Q4 of 2025, the cryptocurrency market finally shows signs of recovery in early 2026.
To many people's surprise, it was not Bitcoin or Ethereum that ignited the crypto rally at the start of the new year, but Meme coins. After a period of calm holidays and sluggish market activity, Meme coins are making a strong comeback.
Is the capital rotation cycle repeating?
Honestly, this Meme coin rally is not surprising. By the end of 2025, market liquidity dried up, FUD sentiment spread, and retail investors' risk tolerance dropped to the lowest point of the year. Meme coin market capitalization fell over 65%, and on December 19, it even dropped to $35 billion, hitting a new annual low, with traders' risk tolerance decreasing. After Christmas, Bitcoin