Deciphering the post-decision Saturday night ambush: The market has made its choice, and the script has entered a "neutral leaning hawkish" oscillation and correction phase.
The market has chosen to vote with its feet after the decision. BTC, ETH, and SOL all closed lower, especially ETH failed to hold the upper boundary of the previously discussed "firecracker pattern" and instead fell back into a key range. This is not the start of a bull market, but a collective liquidation of "hawkish rate cuts" and overly optimistic sentiment.
Combined with technical indicators, my strategy will shift fro

Last night (December 10), the Federal Reserve's monetary policy meeting results were announced. Overall, this was a "hawkish rate cut" that aligned with market expectations but involved significant internal disagreement. Here are the key points summarized for you.
Meeting Highlights
(1) Interest Rate Decision:
A 25 basis point cut, lowering the federal funds target range to 3.50%-3.75%. This is the third consecutive rate cut since September this year, with a total reduction of 75 basis points.
(2) Dot Plot Indications:
The latest dot plot shows that the median forecast for the end-of-2026 inte

"Whales Return to the Battlefield After Eight Years of Silence: The Macro Chess Game and Wind Direction Password Behind $267 Million ETH Long Orders" - The movement of whales is one of the most important on-chain passwords in the market, which is worth cross-verifying under the macro framework.
My credo is: trust the signals, but never take all the risks. The position of a giant whale is an important weather vane, but it is by no means our entire combat map. My strategy must combine his behavior, tonight's macro ruling, and the structure of the market itself.
Core judgment: The logic of the wh

At this position (BTC fluctuates at a high weekly level), tonight's Fed decision is the key that will determine the life and death of the market in the next three months.
1. Resolution scenario deduction and core logic
Dovish Exceed Expectations (A) Probability: 20%
Trigger conditions: The dot plot clearly shows that there will be more than 3 rate cuts in 2024 (e.g., to 4), and Powell acknowledged at the press conference that inflation progress is "solid", downplaying recent data disturbances.
Market reaction: The U.S. dollar index dived and U.S. Treasury yields plummeted. The crypto market wi

eSLR loosening → lower cost for banks to purchase government bonds → increased stablecoin reserve yields → stablecoin market cap expansion → liquidity flows into the crypto market. In 2026, the real bull market is just getting started. Just wait and see.

The structure of the current crypto assets market has undergone substantial changes compared to the early days. It is no longer a "wild west" dominated by retail investors and idealists, but has evolved into a complex ecosystem deeply integrated with global capital games, technological revolutions, and regulatory implementations.

Technology is not used to predict markets, but to develop probability advantage strategies.