#美联储利率政策 Pay attention to the release of September PCE data tonight, which will be a key indicator ahead of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision next week. The overall PCE annual rate is expected to be 2.8%. If it meets or falls below expectations, it could support a rate cut by the Federal Reserve. However, if the data exceeds expectations, it may weaken the case for a rate cut. It is recommended to closely monitor capital flows and the movements of large investors to gauge the market's reaction to the PCE data. Additionally, pay attention to recent statements by Federal Reserve offi

#预测市场发展 This newly launched prediction market platform is worth paying attention to. From on-chain data, similar prediction market contracts have maintained good activity. Fanatics Markets is backed by a major sports merchandise giant and a well-known exchange, which could attract a large user base. I will continue to monitor its contract interactions and fund flows to observe whether there are abnormal signals such as whale large bets. If the platform performs well, it could drive the development of the entire prediction market sector, making it worthwhile to proactively invest in related pr

After analyzing recent on-chain data, it was found that the BWTS indicator shows a divergence pattern with the BTC price, which usually signals that the panic selling wave is about to end. Historical data indicates that such divergences are often precursors to market sentiment turning points. Although the false breakout after the Luna event raises caution, the current BWTS pattern is similar to previous ones, suggesting that the conditions for a rebound are in place. However, before the divergence is broken, caution and observation are still necessary. It is recommended to closely monitor larg

#比特币价格分析 Analyzing Polymarket data, the probability of Bitcoin surpassing $100,000 by the end of the year has decreased from 52% to 50%, indicating a slight decline in market confidence. Meanwhile, the expectation of a high of $110,000 is only 15%, and the chance of dropping below $80,000 is 27%, reflecting a cautious current market sentiment.
These data suggest that Bitcoin prices may experience volatility in the short term. I recommend closely monitoring large fund flows, the movements of major wallet addresses, and changes in funding rates in the derivatives market, as these indicators can

#加密货币ETF发展 The first SUI ETF approval marks the further expansion of the crypto ETF market. Notably, this is a leveraged product, which is relatively rare among initial crypto ETF launches. From the data, 74 crypto ETFs have been launched this year, bringing the total to 128. Over the next 12 months, another 80 new products are expected to go live, demonstrating ongoing market enthusiasm for crypto assets.
This trend is worth paying attention to, but caution is also necessary. While leveraged ETFs offer higher potential returns, they also increase risks. For ordinary investors, it is recommen

#以太坊技术发展 Analyzing the changes in blob fees after the Fusaka upgrade, it was found that the main reason for the surge of 15 million times is the "minimum guarantee mechanism" introduced by EIP-7918. This design links blob fees to the L1 execution base fee, ensuring reasonable pricing for network resource usage. From a technical perspective, this not only better reflects actual costs but also allows for traffic regulation through price fluctuations to prevent congestion. It is worth noting that after blob fees are incorporated into the ETH burn mechanism, it is expected to significantly increa

#资产代币化趋势 This funding round reflects institutional investors' positive attitude towards the asset tokenization trend. The participation of major financial institutions such as BNY Mellon and Nasdaq indicates that traditional finance is accelerating its deployment of blockchain technology. Canton Network, as the infrastructure for asset tokenization, warrants attention for its development. Further analysis is needed on these institutions' specific investment strategies and their potential impact on the existing financial system. Moving forward, continuous tracking of Canton Network's technolog

#加密货币监管 This initiative by the European Banking Union is worth paying attention to. Nine major banks have jointly established Qivalis, planning to launch an euro stablecoin regulated under MiCA by 2026, demonstrating Europe's ambitions in the digital currency space. From an on-chain data perspective, this could lead to new patterns of capital flow. I will closely monitor its impact on the existing stablecoin market, especially changes in the market share of USDT and USDC. At the same time, it is also important to pay attention to the potential impact of this initiative on the euro's position

#比特币市场分析 Observed that Bitcoin price has once again fallen below the $90,000 mark, retreating to the support zone of $88,000-$89,000. This pullback is smaller compared to the previous two instances, indicating a gradual weakening of the correction trend. The key now is whether a quick rebound can occur within this support zone; otherwise, there is a risk of retesting the November lows. From a technical perspective, as long as this week's closing price remains above the lower end of the range, the consolidation pattern remains intact. However, to break through the resistance above, further mom

#美联储货币政策 The Bank of Japan may raise interest rates this month, which is a noteworthy signal. From on-chain data, the trading volume of yen-related stablecoins has recently increased, indicating that market attention to the yen's movement is rising. However, the expected rate hike is relatively moderate, and its impact on the global cryptocurrency market may be limited. I will continue to monitor the yen trading pairs on major exchanges and the capital flow of Japan-related projects to provide references for future market trends. At the same time, it is also necessary to pay attention to the

#加密货币ETF发展 Seeing this news, I feel that market sentiment is improving. Crypto ETF capital inflows reached $1.1 billion, hitting a 7-week high and reversing the previous four-week trend of $4.7 billion in outflows. The United States, Canada, and Switzerland are the main sources of inflows, while Germany experienced a slight outflow. Bitcoin and Ethereum saw net inflows of $461 million and $308 million respectively, and investors also withdrew $1.9 billion from Bitcoin short ETPs. These data indicate that investor confidence is recovering, and the market may enter an upward trend. However, I r

#预测市场发展 Analyzing this incident, I believe it may have exposed a major flaw in prediction markets. Through on-chain data tracking, we found that this trader is highly likely to be a senior Google executive. If he indeed has the ability to manipulate algorithms, then prediction markets are no longer just tools for arbitrage based on information gaps, but become a means of directly rewriting reality. This poses a serious threat to market fairness and credibility. In the future, we need stricter regulatory mechanisms to prevent decision-makers from exploiting their positions to manipulate the ma

#稳定币发展与监管 Analyzing this policy orientation, it can be seen that China places great importance on the potential risks that stablecoins pose to the financial system and national security. USD stablecoins have already dominated the global market, making the development of RMB stablecoins less significant. More importantly, stablecoins could be used for illegal activities such as money laundering and fraud, posing challenges to regulation. Considering China's leading position in mobile payments and digital RMB, it is more prudent to stick to the current approach. In the future, focus should be o

#美联储政策与经济指标 Just saw that the US September core PCE price index annual rate was announced at 2.8%, below the expected 2.9%, hitting a three-month low. This data has a positive impact on market sentiment and may ease the Federal Reserve's rate hike pressure. From on-chain data, Bitcoin has indeed experienced a slight short-term increase, rising above $91,000. However, I believe we still need to observe subsequent economic indicators and the Fed's stance to determine whether this will lead to sustained positive momentum. It is recommended to continue monitoring capital flows and large investor

#加密货币市场周期分析 Analyze this news, I believe the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut decision will have a key impact on the market by the end of the year. Although the S&P 500 index is approaching historical highs, overly dovish rate cuts may imply poor economic conditions and instead trigger market concerns. It is important to closely monitor upcoming employment and inflation data, as these will be key indicators for market direction. From on-chain data, currently, there are no obvious anomalies in capital flows, but if the Federal Reserve signals a dovish stance, it could trigger a wave of on-c

#稳定币发展 Analyzing recent on-chain data from HuiWang Payment, it was found that its USDT balance has sharply decreased. Since October, the Ethereum network activity has almost exhausted USDT, while the Tron network has shown a gradual shutdown. At the end of November, the daily USDT transfer-out volume plummeted from 41.83 million to 7.17 million, and completely ceased small withdrawals after December 1. Currently, only 990,000 USDT remain on the chain, which aligns with the official announcement of ceasing operations. This large-scale capital outflow pattern typically indicates a potential liq

#比特币价格分析 Observed that Bitcoin recently broke below the $90,000 mark, mainly influenced by liquidation pressure, weak ETF demand, and macroeconomic uncertainties. Data shows approximately $420 million in long positions were forcibly liquidated within 24 hours, and ETF capital has been flowing out for six consecutive weeks, totaling over $2.8 billion. From on-chain fund flows, long-term holders are still increasing their holdings, but a quarter of the circulating supply is in loss. Currently, the $90,000 to $86,000 range is a key support level; if it is broken, further declines may be triggere

#中心化交易所策略调整 In-depth analysis of this witch attack incident. By tracking the flow of funds, it was found that over 1000 wallet addresses originated from the same entity, accounting for more than 70% of the total participating addresses. This large-scale address manipulation severely impacted the fairness of the presale.
From on-chain data, the attacker used strategies such as dispersing funds and transferring in batches to cover their tracks. However, one key wallet exposed its identity information. This reminds us that even carefully designed attacks can leave clues.
It is recommended that p

#加密货币市场分析 Noted Solana co-founder’s view on the total market capitalization of the crypto market. He predicts that the total market cap will continue to rise but will eventually evolve into a battle for market share among blockchains. This perspective warrants in-depth analysis.
From on-chain data, recent observations show a continuous inflow of funds into mainstream public chain ecosystems. However, it is important to note that this capital flow is not evenly distributed but shows a clear concentration trend. Some public chains with technological advantages and application scenarios have att